Predictions Match Details
Catarinense - 1 · Feb 01, 2025 19:00

Chapecoense
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT

Criciúma
PWR 35
47% H 25% D 28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Chapecoense to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (18%) 3-0 (12%) 0-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Chapecoense Form DLWLW
STABLE
Criciúma Form WWLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.541%
BTTS29%
Under 2.559%
Chapecoense Goals
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Criciúma Goals
0
66%
1
27%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Chapecoense
vs
0.41
Criciúma
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum87%
Standings62%
Market50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Chapecoense
+1
Gap
#3
Criciúma
WR 67% 11 pts WR 33% 11 pts
Chapecoense 10.0%
Jan 29 Chapeco… v Avaí 0-0
Jan 26 Chapeco… v Concórd… 2-1
Jan 19 Chapeco… v Marcíli… 1-0
Nov 24 Chapeco… v Mirassol 1-0
Nov 17 Chapeco… v Corinth… 2-1
Nov 10 Chapeco… v Sport R… 1-1
Nov 02 Chapeco… v Novoriz… 0-2
Oct 29 Chapeco… v Brusque 0-1
Sep 22 Chapeco… v Avaí 1-0
Aug 22 Chapeco… v América… 0-0
Criciúma 8.0%
Jan 30 Criciúma v Joinvil… 3-0
Jan 19 Criciúma v Concórd… 2-0
Dec 08 Criciúma v RB Brag… 5-1
Dec 04 Criciúma v Flamengo 0-3
Nov 30 Criciúma v Corinth… 2-4
Nov 26 Criciúma v Flumine… 0-0
Nov 20 Criciúma v Vitoria 0-1
Oct 03 Criciúma v Athleti… 2-0
Jun 19 Criciúma v Athleti… 1-2
May 23 Criciúma v Bahia 0-2
Head-to-Head (6)
Mar 02, 2024 Criciúma 2-0 Chapecoense
Oct 14, 2023 Criciúma 1-2 Chapecoense
Jun 24, 2023 Chapecoense 1-1 Criciúma
Jan 22, 2023 Chapecoense 1-1 Criciúma
Sep 25, 2022 Criciúma 2-0 Chapecoense
Jun 11, 2022 Chapecoense 2-3 Criciúma
Key Factors
Criciúma struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.