Catarinense - 1 · Mar 02, 2024 19:30

Criciúma
PWR 35

Chapecoense
PWR 35

Criciúma
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT

Chapecoense
PWR 35
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Criciúma to win (76% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
76%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
2-0 (7%)
2-1 (6%)
1-0 (4%)
3-2 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Criciúma Form
DLWWL
STABLE
Chapecoense Form
LLLLW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.567%
BTTS59%
Under 2.533%
Criciúma Goals
0
2%
1
9%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
Chapecoense Goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.74
Criciúmavs
0.92
ChapecoenseDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings48%
Market50%
League Standings
#3
Criciúma-1
Gap#2
Chapecoense
WR 67% 11 pts
WR 33% 11 pts
Criciúma
10.0%
| Feb 24 | Criciúma v Joinvil… | 0-0 |
| Feb 15 | Criciúma v Brusque | 1-2 |
| Feb 12 | Criciúma v Avaí | 2-3 |
| Jan 24 | Criciúma v Concórd… | 1-2 |
| Nov 25 | Criciúma v Novoriz… | 2-0 |
| Nov 18 | Criciúma v Botafogo | 3-0 |
| Nov 14 | Criciúma v Guaraní… | 1-1 |
| Oct 14 | Criciúma v Chapeco… | 1-2 |
| Aug 05 | Criciúma v Avaí | 1-0 |
| Jul 17 | Criciúma v Botafogo | 1-0 |
Chapecoense
4.0%
| Feb 10 | Chapeco… v Joinvil… | 2-3 |
| Feb 07 | Chapeco… v Marcíli… | 2-1 |
| Feb 04 | Chapeco… v Concórd… | 0-1 |
| Jan 28 | Chapeco… v Avaí | 3-2 |
| Nov 25 | Chapeco… v Vitoria | 3-1 |
| Nov 17 | Chapeco… v Ituano | 0-0 |
| Oct 29 | Chapeco… v Joinvil… | 5-1 |
| Oct 24 | Chapeco… v Avaí | 2-0 |
| Oct 14 | Chapeco… v Concórd… | 0-0 |
| Oct 14 | Chapeco… v Criciúma | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Oct 14, 2023 | Criciúma | 1-2 | Chapecoense |
| Jun 24, 2023 | Chapecoense | 1-1 | Criciúma |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Chapecoense | 1-1 | Criciúma |
| Sep 25, 2022 | Criciúma | 2-0 | Chapecoense |
| Jun 11, 2022 | Chapecoense | 2-3 | Criciúma |
Key Factors
Chapecoense struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.