Catarinense - 1 · Mar 02, 2024 19:30

Criciúma
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT

Chapecoense
PWR 35
53% H 23% D 24% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Criciúma to win (76% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
76%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-0 (4%) 3-2 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Criciúma Form DLWWL
STABLE
Chapecoense Form LLLLW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.567%
BTTS59%
Under 2.533%
Criciúma Goals
0
2%
1
9%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
Chapecoense Goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.74
Criciúma
vs
0.92
Chapecoense
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings48%
Market50%
League Standings
#3
Criciúma
-1
Gap
#2
Chapecoense
WR 67% 11 pts WR 33% 11 pts
Criciúma 10.0%
Feb 24 Criciúma v Joinvil… 0-0
Feb 15 Criciúma v Brusque 1-2
Feb 12 Criciúma v Avaí 2-3
Jan 24 Criciúma v Concórd… 1-2
Nov 25 Criciúma v Novoriz… 2-0
Nov 18 Criciúma v Botafogo 3-0
Nov 14 Criciúma v Guaraní… 1-1
Oct 14 Criciúma v Chapeco… 1-2
Aug 05 Criciúma v Avaí 1-0
Jul 17 Criciúma v Botafogo 1-0
Chapecoense 4.0%
Feb 10 Chapeco… v Joinvil… 2-3
Feb 07 Chapeco… v Marcíli… 2-1
Feb 04 Chapeco… v Concórd… 0-1
Jan 28 Chapeco… v Avaí 3-2
Nov 25 Chapeco… v Vitoria 3-1
Nov 17 Chapeco… v Ituano 0-0
Oct 29 Chapeco… v Joinvil… 5-1
Oct 24 Chapeco… v Avaí 2-0
Oct 14 Chapeco… v Concórd… 0-0
Oct 14 Chapeco… v Criciúma 1-2
Head-to-Head (5)
Oct 14, 2023 Criciúma 1-2 Chapecoense
Jun 24, 2023 Chapecoense 1-1 Criciúma
Jan 22, 2023 Chapecoense 1-1 Criciúma
Sep 25, 2022 Criciúma 2-0 Chapecoense
Jun 11, 2022 Chapecoense 2-3 Criciúma
Key Factors
Chapecoense struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.