AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Jun 11, 2022

Chapecoense

Home
VS
00:30

Criciúma

Away
AI Predictions 46.3% Confidence
Chapecoense Win
46.3%
Draw
24.7%
Criciúma Win
28.9%
Home Win (46% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 1.38 - 0.72
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.7
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Chapecoense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Criciúma Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (12%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
Chapecoense Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 23 Chapecoen… vs Vasco DA … 0-0
Mar 20 Chapecoen… vs Concórdia 1-1
Mar 13 Chapecoen… vs Concórdia 1-1
Mar 05 Chapecoen… vs Marcílio … 1-2
Feb 20 Chapecoen… vs Camboriú 1-1
Feb 16 Chapecoen… vs Concórdia 0-1
Feb 10 Chapecoen… vs Joinville 2-1
Criciúma Form 6.7%
Date Match Result
Sep 11 Criciúma vs Botafogo 0-0
Jul 12 Criciúma vs Botafogo 3-1
Dec 05 Criciúma vs Brusque 2-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Chapecoense to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Chapecoense Power 0
Criciúma Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.