Serie A · Apr 16, 2023 18:45

AS Roma
PWR 41
3 - 0
FT

Udinese
PWR 31
57% H 23% D 20% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: AS Roma to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (15%) 3-0 (13%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATE
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense82
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G0.6
Attack34
Defense56
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.5
AS Roma Form WLWDL
STABLE
Udinese Form LLLDL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.554%
BTTS38%
Under 2.546%
AS Roma Goals
0
8%
1
20%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Udinese Goals
0
59%
1
31%
2
8%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.51
AS Roma
vs
0.53
Udinese
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum93%
Standings61%
Market50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
AS Roma
+4
Gap
#9
Udinese
WR 64% 43 pts WR 46% 32 pts
AS Roma 10.0%
Apr 08 AS Roma v Torino 0-1
Mar 12 AS Roma v Sassuolo 3-4
Mar 05 AS Roma v Juventus 1-0
Feb 11 AS Roma v Lecce 1-1
Jan 29 AS Roma v Napoli 2-1
Jan 12 AS Roma v Saudi A… 1-2
Jan 12 AS Roma v Genoa 1-0
Nov 13 AS Roma v Torino 1-1
Nov 09 AS Roma v Sassuolo 1-1
Oct 23 AS Roma v Napoli 0-1
Udinese 2.0%
Apr 02 Udinese v Bologna 3-0
Feb 18 Udinese v Inter 3-1
Feb 05 Udinese v Torino 1-0
Jan 30 Udinese v Verona 1-1
Jan 15 Udinese v Bologna 1-2
Jan 07 Udinese v Juventus 1-0
Dec 23 Udinese v Lecce 2-0
Nov 12 Udinese v Napoli 3-2
Nov 04 Udinese v Lecce 1-1
Oct 23 Udinese v Torino 1-2
Head-to-Head (4)
Sep 04, 2022 Udinese 4-0 AS Roma
Mar 13, 2022 Udinese 1-1 AS Roma
Sep 23, 2021 AS Roma 1-0 Udinese
Feb 14, 2021 AS Roma 3-0 Udinese
Key Factors
Udinese struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.