Serie A · Apr 16, 2023 18:45

AS Roma
PWR 41

Udinese
PWR 31

AS Roma
PWR 41
3 - 0
FT

Udinese
PWR 31
57% H
23% D
20% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: AS Roma to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (15%)
3-0 (13%)
1-0 (12%)
2-1 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
1-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATE
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense82
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G0.6
Attack34
Defense56
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.5
AS Roma Form
WLWDL
STABLE
Udinese Form
LLLDL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.554%
BTTS38%
Under 2.546%
AS Roma Goals
0
8%
1
20%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Udinese Goals
0
59%
1
31%
2
8%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.51
AS Romavs
0.53
UdineseDecision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum93%
Standings61%
Market50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
AS Roma+4
Gap#9
Udinese
WR 64% 43 pts
WR 46% 32 pts
AS Roma
10.0%
| Apr 08 | AS Roma v Torino | 0-1 |
| Mar 12 | AS Roma v Sassuolo | 3-4 |
| Mar 05 | AS Roma v Juventus | 1-0 |
| Feb 11 | AS Roma v Lecce | 1-1 |
| Jan 29 | AS Roma v Napoli | 2-1 |
| Jan 12 | AS Roma v Saudi A… | 1-2 |
| Jan 12 | AS Roma v Genoa | 1-0 |
| Nov 13 | AS Roma v Torino | 1-1 |
| Nov 09 | AS Roma v Sassuolo | 1-1 |
| Oct 23 | AS Roma v Napoli | 0-1 |
Udinese
2.0%
| Apr 02 | Udinese v Bologna | 3-0 |
| Feb 18 | Udinese v Inter | 3-1 |
| Feb 05 | Udinese v Torino | 1-0 |
| Jan 30 | Udinese v Verona | 1-1 |
| Jan 15 | Udinese v Bologna | 1-2 |
| Jan 07 | Udinese v Juventus | 1-0 |
| Dec 23 | Udinese v Lecce | 2-0 |
| Nov 12 | Udinese v Napoli | 3-2 |
| Nov 04 | Udinese v Lecce | 1-1 |
| Oct 23 | Udinese v Torino | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Sep 04, 2022 | Udinese | 4-0 | AS Roma |
| Mar 13, 2022 | Udinese | 1-1 | AS Roma |
| Sep 23, 2021 | AS Roma | 1-0 | Udinese |
| Feb 14, 2021 | AS Roma | 3-0 | Udinese |
Key Factors
Udinese struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.