AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Carioca A2 May 12, 2022

Volta Redonda

Home
VS
21:00

Maringá

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Volta Redonda Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Maringá Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 1.83 - 0.85
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.8
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Volta Redonda Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
8%
Maringá Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 2-0 (11%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (7%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Volta Redonda Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 06 Volta Red… vs Botafogo 5-0
Feb 27 Volta Red… vs Nova Igua… 2-3
Feb 12 Volta Red… vs Madureira… 0-1
Feb 05 Volta Red… vs Boavista 1-0
Jan 29 Volta Red… vs Flamengo 0-0
Maringá Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 03 Maringá vs Corinthia… 4-2
Mar 31 Maringá vs Corinthia… 1-2
Mar 27 Maringá vs Operário-… 0-0
Mar 24 Maringá vs Operário-… 1-1
Mar 06 Maringá vs Corinthia… 3-1
Feb 16 Maringá vs Operário-… 2-0
Feb 03 Maringá vs Azuriz 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Volta Redonda struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • Maringá struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Volta Redonda to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Volta Redonda Power 0
Maringá Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.