Carioca - 1 · Jan 24, 2025 00:30

Vasco DA Gama
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT

Madureira EC
PWR 35
55% H 23% D 22% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (18%) 1-0 (16%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Vasco DA Gama Form DDWWD
STABLE
Madureira EC Form LWLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.546%
BTTS28%
Under 2.554%
Vasco DA Ga… Goals
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Madureira EC Goals
0
69%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.25
Vasco DA Gama
vs
0.37
Madureira EC
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum92%
Standings46%
Market50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Vasco DA Ga…
-2
Gap
#2
Madureira EC
WR 40% 8 pts WR 40% 7 pts
Vasco DA Gama 14.0%
Jan 19 Vasco D… v Boavista 1-1
Jan 11 Vasco D… v Nova Ig… 1-1
Dec 08 Vasco D… v Cuiabá 1-2
Dec 04 Vasco D… v Atletic… 2-0
Dec 01 Vasco D… v Athleti… 2-2
Nov 24 Vasco D… v Corinth… 3-1
Nov 21 Vasco D… v Interna… 0-1
Nov 06 Vasco D… v Botafogo 3-0
Oct 19 Vasco D… v Atletic… 1-1
Oct 02 Vasco D… v Atletic… 2-1
Madureira EC 6.0%
Jan 19 Madurei… v Portugu… 2-1
Jan 12 Madurei… v Volta R… 2-0
Feb 25 Madurei… v Bangu 2-1
Feb 17 Madurei… v Flumine… 0-1
Feb 05 Madurei… v Portugu… 0-0
Jan 28 Madurei… v Volta R… 3-1
Jan 26 Madurei… v Vasco D… 2-0
Mar 04 Madurei… v Volta R… 0-6
Feb 05 Madurei… v Bangu 1-0
Feb 02 Madurei… v Portugu… 1-1
Head-to-Head (3)
Jan 26, 2024 Vasco DA Gama 2-0 Madureira EC
Jan 14, 2023 Vasco DA Gama 0-0 Madureira EC
Feb 06, 2022 Madureira EC 1-3 Vasco DA Gama
Key Factors
Madureira EC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.