Primeira Liga · Apr 12, 2025 19:30
Casa Pia AC
PWR 35
FC Porto
PWR 35
Casa Pia AC
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT
FC Porto
PWR 35
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (14%)
1-0 (12%)
3-0 (11%)
2-1 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Casa Pia AC Form
DWLLL
STABLE
FC Porto Form
LDWLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.553%
BTTS41%
Under 2.547%
Casa Pia AC Goals
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
FC Porto Goals
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.33
Casa Pia ACvs
0.61
FC PortoDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum90%
Standings30%
Market50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#15
Casa Pia AC-14
Gap#1
FC Porto
WR 10% 18 pts
WR 91% 55 pts
Casa Pia AC
6.0%
| Apr 07 | Casa Pi… v Farense | 0-0 |
| Mar 29 | Casa Pi… v Rio Ave… | 2-1 |
| Mar 16 | Casa Pi… v Nacional | 3-1 |
| Mar 09 | Casa Pi… v Sp Lisb… | 1-3 |
| Mar 09 | Casa Pi… v Sportin… | 1-3 |
| Mar 01 | Casa Pi… v Guimara… | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Casa Pi… v GIL Vic… | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Casa Pi… v Moreire… | 3-2 |
| Feb 09 | Casa Pi… v Estrela… | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Casa Pi… v Santa C… | 2-1 |
FC Porto
6.0%
| Apr 06 | FC Porto v Benfica | 1-4 |
| Mar 30 | FC Porto v Rubin K… | 0-0 |
| Mar 30 | FC Porto v Estoril | 1-2 |
| Mar 22 | FC Porto v CSKA Mo… | 3-0 |
| Mar 16 | FC Porto v Leixões… | 0-1 |
| Mar 15 | FC Porto v AVS | 2-0 |
| Mar 15 | FC Porto v Lokomot… | 0-2 |
| Mar 12 | FC Porto v Zenit S… | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | FC Porto v SC Braga | 1-0 |
| Mar 08 | FC Porto v Dinamo … | 4-1 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Dec 02, 2024 | FC Porto | 2-0 | Casa Pia AC |
| Dec 02, 2024 | FC Porto | 2-0 | Casa Pia AC |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Casa Pia AC | 1-2 | FC Porto |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Casa Pia AC | 1-2 | FC Porto |
| Dec 09, 2023 | FC Porto | 3-1 | Casa Pia AC |
| Dec 09, 2023 | FC Porto | 3-1 | Casa Pia AC |
| May 14, 2023 | FC Porto | 2-1 | Casa Pia AC |
| Jan 07, 2023 | Casa Pia AC | 0-0 | FC Porto |
Key Factors
Casa Pia AC struggling (3L in last 5)
FC Porto struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.