Primeira Liga · Dec 02, 2024 20:45

FC Porto
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT

Casa Pia AC
PWR 35
35% H 27% D 38% A
Final Verdict
FC Porto Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
76%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 1-0 (3%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 8 rules · 76%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
TOP3_VS_BOTTOMPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (8 rules, 76% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
FC Porto Form WLDLL
STABLE
Casa Pia AC Form WDDDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS35%
Under 2.543%
FC Porto Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Casa Pia AC Goals
0
64%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
FC Porto
vs
0.44
Casa Pia AC
Decision Breakdown
CS68+S65 (82.8%)S70+DR<22 (82.1%)S75+DR<25 (81.8%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)CS68+S70+DR<25 (80.0%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)CS68+M80 (75.0%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings91%
Market50%
League Standings
#1
FC Porto
+14
Gap
#15
Casa Pia AC
WR 89% 55 pts WR 30% 18 pts
FC Porto 6.0%
Nov 27 FC Porto v CSKA Mo… 2-1
Nov 24 FC Porto v Moreire… 2-1
Nov 16 FC Porto v KR Reyk… 1-1
Nov 10 FC Porto v Benfica 4-1
Nov 10 FC Porto v Benfica 4-1
Nov 09 FC Porto v Rubin K… 1-2
Nov 05 FC Porto v CSKA Mo… 0-1
Nov 03 FC Porto v Estoril 4-0
Nov 03 FC Porto v Estoril 4-0
Nov 02 FC Porto v Spartak… 3-1
Casa Pia AC 14.0%
Nov 23 Casa Pi… v Chaves 3-0
Nov 09 Casa Pi… v Farense 1-1
Nov 02 Casa Pi… v Rio Ave… 2-2
Nov 02 Casa Pi… v Rio Ave… 2-2
Oct 25 Casa Pi… v Nacional 1-0
Oct 25 Casa Pi… v Nacional 1-0
Oct 05 Casa Pi… v Sportin… 2-0
Oct 05 Casa Pi… v Sp Lisb… 2-0
Sep 28 Casa Pi… v Guimara… 1-1
Sep 28 Casa Pi… v Guimara… 1-1
Head-to-Head (6)
Apr 21, 2024 Casa Pia AC 1-2 FC Porto
Apr 21, 2024 Casa Pia AC 1-2 FC Porto
Dec 09, 2023 FC Porto 3-1 Casa Pia AC
Dec 09, 2023 FC Porto 3-1 Casa Pia AC
May 14, 2023 FC Porto 2-1 Casa Pia AC
Jan 07, 2023 Casa Pia AC 0-0 FC Porto
Key Factors
FC Porto struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.