Primeira Liga · Dec 09, 2023 20:30
FC Porto
PWR 35
Casa Pia AC
PWR 35
FC Porto
PWR 35
3 - 1
FT
Casa Pia AC
PWR 35
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
FC Porto Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
76%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (24%)
2-0 (22%)
3-0 (14%)
0-0 (13%)
1-1 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 8 rules · 76%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
TOP3_VS_BOTTOMPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdā Passed 75% Stability Protocol (8 rules, 76% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
FC Porto Form
LWWDW
STABLE
Casa Pia AC Form
WDLWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.533%
BTTS15%
Under 2.567%
FC Porto Goals
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Casa Pia AC Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
FC Portovs
0.20
Casa Pia ACDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum89%
Standings91%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
FC Porto+14
Gap#15
Casa Pia AC
WR 89% 55 pts
WR 30% 18 pts
FC Porto
14.0%
| Dec 06 | FC Porto v Estoril | 3-1 |
| Dec 02 | FC Porto v Famalicā¦ | 0-3 |
| Dec 02 | FC Porto v Famalicā¦ | 0-3 |
| Nov 29 | FC Porto v CSKA Moā¦ | 1-1 |
| Nov 25 | FC Porto v AcadĆ©miā¦ | 3-0 |
| Nov 24 | FC Porto v KR Reykā¦ | 1-0 |
| Nov 17 | FC Porto v Krylya ā¦ | 1-2 |
| Nov 11 | FC Porto v Penafieā¦ | 3-2 |
| Nov 11 | FC Porto v Guimaraā¦ | 1-2 |
| Nov 04 | FC Porto v Moreireā¦ | 2-0 |
Casa Pia AC
12.0%
| Dec 02 | Casa Piā¦ v Portimoā¦ | 1-0 |
| Nov 25 | Casa Piā¦ v Nacional | 0-0 |
| Oct 02 | Casa Piā¦ v GIL Vicā¦ | 2-0 |
| Sep 28 | Casa Piā¦ v Nacional | 2-1 |
| Sep 23 | Casa Piā¦ v Guimaraā¦ | 0-0 |
| Sep 02 | Casa Piā¦ v Rio Aveā¦ | 1-1 |
| Aug 18 | Casa Piā¦ v Sportinā¦ | 1-2 |
| May 27 | Casa Piā¦ v GIL Vicā¦ | 1-0 |
| May 14 | Casa Piā¦ v FC Porto | 2-1 |
| Apr 16 | Casa Piā¦ v Rio Aveā¦ | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| May 14, 2023 | FC Porto | 2-1 | Casa Pia AC |
| Jan 07, 2023 | Casa Pia AC | 0-0 | FC Porto |
Key Factors
FC Porto in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.