Primeira Liga · May 14, 2023 19:30
FC Porto
PWR 35
Casa Pia AC
PWR 35
FC Porto
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT
Casa Pia AC
PWR 35
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
FC Porto Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
76%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (10%)
2-0 (10%)
3-1 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
1-0 (6%)
1-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 8 rules · 76%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
TOP3_VS_BOTTOMPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdā Passed 75% Stability Protocol (8 rules, 76% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
FC Porto Form
LWWLW
STABLE
Casa Pia AC Form
DLDLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.565%
BTTS53%
Under 2.535%
FC Porto Goals
0
5%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Casa Pia AC Goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.07
FC Portovs
0.80
Casa Pia ACDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings91%
Market50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
FC Porto+14
Gap#15
Casa Pia AC
WR 89% 55 pts
WR 30% 18 pts
FC Porto
12.0%
| May 07 | FC Porto v Farense | 2-0 |
| May 04 | FC Porto v Famalicā¦ | 3-2 |
| Apr 26 | FC Porto v Famalicā¦ | 1-2 |
| Apr 16 | FC Porto v Moreireā¦ | 3-0 |
| Apr 15 | FC Porto v Santa Cā¦ | 2-1 |
| Apr 07 | FC Porto v Benfica | 1-2 |
| Apr 03 | FC Porto v Penafieā¦ | 1-2 |
| Mar 19 | FC Porto v LeixƵesā¦ | 4-0 |
| Mar 10 | FC Porto v Estoril | 3-2 |
| Feb 26 | FC Porto v GIL Vicā¦ | 1-2 |
Casa Pia AC
8.0%
| Apr 16 | Casa Piā¦ v Rio Aveā¦ | 1-1 |
| Apr 09 | Casa Piā¦ v Sportinā¦ | 3-4 |
| Feb 19 | Casa Piā¦ v Guimaraā¦ | 0-0 |
| Feb 09 | Casa Piā¦ v Nacional | 2-5 |
| Jan 29 | Casa Piā¦ v Santa Cā¦ | 2-1 |
| Jan 22 | Casa Piā¦ v GIL Vicā¦ | 1-3 |
| Jan 07 | Casa Piā¦ v FC Porto | 0-0 |
| Oct 30 | Casa Piā¦ v Rio Aveā¦ | 1-0 |
| Oct 22 | Casa Piā¦ v Sportinā¦ | 3-1 |
| Aug 29 | Casa Piā¦ v Guimaraā¦ | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jan 07, 2023 | Casa Pia AC | 0-0 | FC Porto |
Key Factors
FC Porto in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.