Primera A · Aug 10, 2024 22:45
Deportes Tolima
PWR 35
La Equidad FC
PWR 35
Deportes Tolima
PWR 35
5 - 1
FT
La Equidad FC
PWR 35
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: La Equidad FC to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
0-1
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (14%)
2-0 (10%)
1-0 (5%)
3-1 (4%)
2-1 (3%)
1-1 (1%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 5-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)ā ļø SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Deportes Tolima Form
LWWLW
STABLE
La Equidad FC Form
WWWLL
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.558%
BTTS25%
Under 2.542%
Deportes Toā¦ Goals
0
2%
1
7%
2
14%
3
19%
4
20%
La Equidad ā¦ Goals
0
75%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.12
Deportes Tolimavs
0.29
La Equidad FCDecision Breakdown
HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings44%
Market50%
League Standings
#4
Deportes Toā¦-3
Gap#1
La Equidad ā¦
WR 100% 8 pts
WR 67% 10 pts
Deportes Tolima
12.0%
| Jun 03 | Deporteā¦ v Santa Fe | 1-2 |
| May 23 | Deporteā¦ v La Equiā¦ | 3-0 |
| May 18 | Deporteā¦ v La Equiā¦ | 2-3 |
| May 05 | Deporteā¦ v Santa Fe | 1-0 |
| Apr 12 | Deporteā¦ v Rionegrā¦ | 2-1 |
| Mar 29 | Deporteā¦ v Alianzaā¦ | 0-2 |
| Mar 16 | Deporteā¦ v Santa Fe | 1-1 |
| Mar 10 | Deporteā¦ v Indepenā¦ | 2-2 |
| Mar 06 | Deporteā¦ v Indepenā¦ | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Deporteā¦ v Bucaramā¦ | 0-0 |
La Equidad FC
12.0%
| Jul 23 | La Equiā¦ v Jaguares | 1-0 |
| Jun 10 | La Equiā¦ v Junior | 4-3 |
| May 26 | La Equiā¦ v Alianzaā¦ | 4-2 |
| May 23 | La Equiā¦ v Deporteā¦ | 3-0 |
| May 20 | La Equiā¦ v Millonaā¦ | 3-1 |
| May 18 | La Equiā¦ v Deporteā¦ | 2-3 |
| Apr 28 | La Equiā¦ v Deportiā¦ | 0-2 |
| Mar 23 | La Equiā¦ v Indepenā¦ | 1-2 |
| Mar 16 | La Equiā¦ v Bucaramā¦ | 4-0 |
| Feb 22 | La Equiā¦ v Americaā¦ | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| May 23, 2024 | Deportes Toliā¦ | 3-0 | La Equidad FC |
| May 18, 2024 | La Equidad FC | 2-3 | Deportes Toliā¦ |
| Feb 10, 2024 | La Equidad FC | 1-1 | Deportes Toliā¦ |
| Aug 27, 2023 | La Equidad FC | 0-0 | Deportes Toliā¦ |
| Mar 14, 2023 | Deportes Toliā¦ | 1-0 | La Equidad FC |
| Aug 22, 2022 | Deportes Toliā¦ | 1-1 | La Equidad FC |
| Jun 09, 2022 | La Equidad FC | 1-0 | Deportes Toliā¦ |
Key Factors
Deportes Tolima in strong form (3W in last 5)
La Equidad FC in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.