AI Match Insights
Primera A May 23, 2024
Deportes Tolima
HomeVS
23:15
La Equidad FC
AwayAI Predictions 65.0% Confidence
Deportes Tolima Win
Draw
La Equidad FC Win
Home Win
(65% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
89%
Standings
68%
Market
50%
Combined: 62%
Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 1.86 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Deportes Tolima Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
La Equidad FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%)
2-0 (22%)
3-0 (14%)
0-0 (13%)
1-1 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
Under 2.5 Goals
67%
Deportes Tolima Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| May 18 | Deportes … vs La Equida… | 2-3 |
| May 05 | Deportes … vs Santa Fe | 1-0 |
| Apr 12 | Deportes … vs Rionegro … | 2-1 |
| Mar 29 | Deportes … vs Alianza P… | 0-2 |
| Mar 16 | Deportes … vs Santa Fe | 1-1 |
| Mar 10 | Deportes … vs Independi… | 2-2 |
| Mar 06 | Deportes … vs Independi… | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Deportes … vs Bucaraman… | 0-0 |
| Feb 19 | Deportes … vs Junior | 0-1 |
| Feb 10 | Deportes … vs La Equida… | 1-1 |
La Equidad FC Form 0.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| May 20 | La Equida… vs Millonari… | 3-1 |
| May 18 | La Equida… vs Deportes … | 2-3 |
| Apr 28 | La Equida… vs Deportivo… | 0-2 |
| Mar 23 | La Equida… vs Independi… | 1-2 |
| Mar 16 | La Equida… vs Bucaraman… | 4-0 |
| Feb 22 | La Equida… vs America d… | 0-1 |
| Feb 10 | La Equida… vs Deportes … | 1-1 |
| Jan 27 | La Equida… vs Jaguares | 0-0 |
| Oct 14 | La Equida… vs Deportivo… | 1-0 |
| Sep 25 | La Equida… vs Jaguares | 2-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Deportes Tolima in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
- La Equidad FC struggling (5L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2024 | La Equidad FC | 2 - 3 | Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| Feb 10, 2024 | La Equidad FC | 1 - 1 | Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| Aug 27, 2023 | La Equidad FC | 0 - 0 | Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| Mar 14, 2023 | Deportes Tolima | 1 - 0 | La Equidad FC | Primera A |
| Aug 22, 2022 | Deportes Tolima | 1 - 1 | La Equidad FC | Primera A |
| Jun 09, 2022 | La Equidad FC | 1 - 0 | Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Deportes Tolima to win (41% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Deportes Tolima Power
0
La Equidad FC Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
3
Deportes Tolima Position+2
Position Gap5
La Equidad FC Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.