Primera A · Feb 10, 2024 21:00

La Equidad FC
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT

Deportes Tolima
PWR 35
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: La Equidad FC to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Elevated draw risk (26.1%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
La Equidad FC Form DLWDD
STABLE
Deportes Tolima Form LLWWW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.540%
BTTS38%
Under 2.560%
La Equidad … Goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Deportes To… Goals
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
La Equidad FC
vs
0.62
Deportes Tolima
Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings70%
Market50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
La Equidad …
+5
Gap
#6
Deportes To…
WR 50% 10 pts WR 33% 8 pts
La Equidad FC 10.0%
Jan 27 La Equi… v Jaguares 0-0
Oct 14 La Equi… v Deporti… 1-0
Sep 25 La Equi… v Jaguares 2-0
Aug 27 La Equi… v Deporte… 0-0
Aug 06 La Equi… v America… 1-1
Jul 15 La Equi… v Indepen… 2-2
Apr 30 La Equi… v Deporti… 2-0
Apr 19 La Equi… v Jaguares 1-1
Mar 14 La Equi… v Deporte… 1-0
Feb 16 La Equi… v Indepen… 2-1
Deportes Tolima 12.0%
Dec 07 Deporte… v Junior 4-2
Dec 02 Deporte… v Rionegr… 0-1
Nov 30 Deporte… v Deporti… 0-2
Nov 25 Deporte… v Deporti… 4-2
Nov 18 Deporte… v Rionegr… 0-4
Nov 14 Deporte… v Junior 3-1
Oct 23 Deporte… v Alianza… 0-1
Oct 16 Deporte… v Santa Fe 1-0
Sep 14 Deporte… v Indepen… 1-1
Sep 02 Deporte… v Bucaram… 0-0
Head-to-Head (4)
Aug 27, 2023 La Equidad FC 0-0 Deportes Toli…
Mar 14, 2023 Deportes Toli… 1-0 La Equidad FC
Aug 22, 2022 Deportes Toli… 1-1 La Equidad FC
Jun 09, 2022 La Equidad FC 1-0 Deportes Toli…
Key Factors
Deportes Tolima in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.