Primera A · Mar 14, 2023 23:00
Deportes Tolima
PWR 35
La Equidad FC
PWR 35
Deportes Tolima
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
La Equidad FC
PWR 35
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (19%)
3-0 (18%)
1-0 (12%)
0-0 (4%)
2-1 (4%)
3-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Deportes Tolima Form
LWWDW
STABLE
La Equidad FC Form
WDDDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.553%
BTTS17%
Under 2.547%
Deportes To… Goals
0
5%
1
15%
2
23%
3
22%
4
17%
La Equidad … Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.97
Deportes Tolimavs
0.20
La Equidad FCDecision Breakdown
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings44%
Market50%
League Standings
#4
Deportes To…-3
Gap#1
La Equidad …
WR 100% 8 pts
WR 67% 10 pts
Deportes Tolima
14.0%
| Feb 06 | Deporte… v Rionegr… | 4-2 |
| Oct 13 | Deporte… v Alianza… | 2-0 |
| Oct 02 | Deporte… v Rionegr… | 1-2 |
| Aug 22 | Deporte… v La Equi… | 1-1 |
| Aug 17 | Deporte… v Indepen… | 0-1 |
| Aug 13 | Deporte… v Santa Fe | 2-1 |
| Aug 01 | Deporte… v Bucaram… | 2-1 |
| Jun 09 | Deporte… v La Equi… | 1-0 |
| Apr 25 | Deporte… v Alianza… | 0-2 |
| Apr 09 | Deporte… v Rionegr… | 3-0 |
La Equidad FC
12.0%
| Feb 16 | La Equi… v Indepen… | 2-1 |
| Feb 12 | La Equi… v America… | 1-1 |
| Oct 08 | La Equi… v Jaguares | 1-1 |
| Aug 28 | La Equi… v Deporti… | 1-1 |
| Aug 22 | La Equi… v Deporte… | 1-1 |
| Aug 16 | La Equi… v America… | 0-0 |
| Aug 05 | La Equi… v Indepen… | 1-1 |
| Jun 17 | La Equi… v Indepen… | 1-5 |
| Jun 09 | La Equi… v Deporte… | 1-0 |
| May 21 | La Equi… v Indepen… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Aug 22, 2022 | Deportes Toli… | 1-1 | La Equidad FC |
| Jun 09, 2022 | La Equidad FC | 1-0 | Deportes Toli… |
Key Factors
Deportes Tolima in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.