Copa de la Liga Profesional · Nov 05, 2023 23:30

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
PWR 56
2 - 1
FT

Defensa y Justicia
PWR 45
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto to win (84% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
84%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 1-0 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 1-2 (6%) 2-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy38%
POSITION_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense83
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.5
Attack35
Defense65
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.0
Estudiantes de… Form DDWWD
STABLE
Defensa y Just… Form DWWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.563%
BTTS64%
Under 2.537%
Estudiantes… Goals
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Defensa y J… Goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Estudiantes de…
vs
1.34
Defensa y Just…
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum69%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Estudiantes…
+12
Gap
#18
Defensa y J…
WR 50% 11 pts WR 33% 4 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Estudiantes de …63216311
Defensa y Justi…3111334
Estudiantes de… 14.0%
Oct 28 Estudia… v Boca Ju… 0-0
Sep 09 Estudia… v Indepen… 1-1
Aug 03 Estudia… v Banfield 0-1
Jul 28 Estudia… v Argenti… 2-3
May 14 Estudia… v Defensa… 1-1
Apr 15 Estudia… v Boca Ju… 0-1
Apr 09 Estudia… v Indepen… 1-2
Oct 23 Estudia… v CA Estu… 0-1
Sep 20 Estudia… v Defensa… 1-2
Sep 18 Estudia… v Indepen… 4-1
Defensa y Just… 14.0%
May 14 Defensa… v Estudia… 1-1
Feb 11 Defensa… v Newell’… 1-0
Sep 20 Defensa… v Estudia… 1-2
Jul 25 Defensa… v Newell’… 1-2
Feb 11 Defensa… v Newell’… 1-0
Oct 16 Defensa… v Estudia… 2-1
Aug 25 Defensa… v Newell’… 2-0
Dec 23 Defensa… v Estudia… 2-1
Head-to-Head (4)
May 14, 2023 Defensa y Jus… 1-1 Estudiantes d…
Sep 20, 2022 Estudiantes d… 1-2 Defensa y Jus…
Oct 16, 2021 Defensa y Jus… 2-1 Estudiantes d…
Dec 23, 2020 Defensa y Jus… 2-1 Estudiantes d…
Key Factors
Defensa y Justicia in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.