AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Profesional Argentina Oct 16, 2021

Defensa y Justicia

Home
VS
00:15

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

Away
AI Predictions 67.0% Confidence
Defensa y Justicia Win
67.0%
Draw
20.6%
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Win
12.4%
Home Win (67% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.14 - 0.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.2 Position gap: 16 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Defensa y Justicia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (29%) 0-0 (25%) 2-0 (17%) 1-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%) 0-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Under 2.5 Goals 84%
Defensa y Justicia Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 23 Defensa y… vs Estudiant… 2-1
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 06 Estudiant… vs Argentino… 1-1
Aug 30 Estudiant… vs CA Estudi… 1-1
Aug 17 Estudiant… vs Tigre 0-0
Jul 25 Estudiant… vs Independi… 0-1
May 15 Estudiant… vs Independi… 0-0
May 09 Estudiant… vs Argentino… 2-0
Apr 18 Estudiant… vs CA Estudi… 0-0
Apr 03 Estudiant… vs Tigre 1-0
Jan 27 Estudiant… vs CA Estudi… 1-0
Dec 23 Estudiant… vs Defensa y… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 23, 2020 Defensa y Justicia 2 - 1 Estudiantes de Rio … Copa de la Sup…
Final Verdict

PRO: Defensa y Justicia to win (65% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 65% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 16
Defensa y Justicia Power 0
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Defensa y Justicia Position

+16

Position Gap

30

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.