AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Trofeo de Campeones de la Superliga Dec 23, 2023

River Plate

Home
VS
00:00

Rosario Central

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
River Plate Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Rosario Central Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 3.33 - 0.21
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.3 vs 0.2
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
River Plate Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Rosario Central Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
81%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (18%) 2-0 (16%) 1-0 (10%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
River Plate Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 10 River Pla… vs Rosario C… 0-0
Nov 11 River Pla… vs Rosario C… 3-1
Oct 29 River Pla… vs Gimnasia … 1-2
Sep 03 River Pla… vs Vélez Sar… 2-0
Aug 28 River Pla… vs Barracas … 5-1
Jul 24 River Pla… vs Rosario C… 3-3
Jul 01 River Pla… vs Barracas … 2-1
May 30 River Pla… vs Vélez Sar… 2-2
Apr 13 River Pla… vs Gimnasia … 3-0
Jan 15 River Pla… vs Millonari… 2-0
Rosario Central Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 10 Rosario C… vs River Pla… 0-0
Dec 04 Rosario C… vs Racing Cl… 2-2
Nov 11 Rosario C… vs River Pla… 3-1
Sep 20 Rosario C… vs Independi… 1-1
Jul 28 Rosario C… vs Belgrano … 0-0
Jul 24 Rosario C… vs River Pla… 3-3
Jul 15 Rosario C… vs Racing Cl… 1-1
Apr 13 Rosario C… vs Independi… 1-0
Oct 16 Rosario C… vs River Pla… 1-2
Oct 01 Rosario C… vs Racing Cl… 4-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 10, 2023 River Plate 0 - 0 Rosario Central Copa de la Lig…
Nov 11, 2023 Rosario Central 3 - 1 River Plate Copa de la Lig…
Jul 24, 2023 Rosario Central 3 - 3 River Plate Liga Profesion…
Oct 16, 2022 River Plate 1 - 2 Rosario Central Liga Profesion…
Nov 28, 2021 Rosario Central 2 - 2 River Plate Liga Profesion…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: River Plate to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
River Plate Power 0
Rosario Central Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.