AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Profesional Argentina Nov 28, 2021

Rosario Central

Home
VS
20:00

River Plate

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Rosario Central Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
River Plate Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 1.53 - 0.77
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.8
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Rosario Central Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
River Plate Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (12%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
Rosario Central Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 23 Rosario C… vs Racing Cl… 2-1
Aug 14 Rosario C… vs Independi… 1-2
Aug 02 Rosario C… vs Aldosivi 1-2
Apr 16 Rosario C… vs Aldosivi 0-1
Mar 08 Rosario C… vs Racing Cl… 1-0
Dec 29 Rosario C… vs Aldosivi 0-1
River Plate Form 15.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 22 River Pla… vs Gimnasia … 1-1
Aug 14 River Pla… vs Vélez Sar… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Rosario Central struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Rosario Central Power 0
River Plate Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Rosario Central Position

-4

Position Gap

2

River Plate Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.