Division Profesional - Apertura · Mar 14, 2024 22:30
Sportivo Luqueño
PWR 45
Cerro Porteño
PWR 57
Sportivo Luqueño
PWR 45
0 - 1
FT
Cerro Porteño
PWR 57
57% H
23% D
20% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Sportivo Luqueño to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (21%)
2-0 (21%)
3-0 (13%)
0-0 (11%)
1-1 (6%)
2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk43%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 9% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 9%, pos gap 2
Power & Form
Attack30
Defense68
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G0.9
Attack58
Defense67
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.0
Sportivo Luque… Form
WWLWW
STABLE
Cerro Porteño Form
DLDWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.536%
BTTS20%
Under 2.564%
Sportivo Lu… Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Cerro Porte… Goals
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Sportivo Luque…vs
0.27
Cerro PorteñoDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum89%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Sportivo Lu…+2
Gap#5
Cerro Porte…
WR 36% 38 pts
WR 45% 35 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Luqueño | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 26 | 38 |
| Cerro Porteño | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 19 | 35 |
Sportivo Luque…
16.0%
| Mar 10 | Sportiv… v Club Gu… | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Sportiv… v Club Gu… | 0-1 |
| Mar 02 | Sportiv… v Olimpia | 1-0 |
| Feb 16 | Sportiv… v Sportiv… | 1-3 |
| Feb 11 | Sportiv… v Naciona… | 2-0 |
| Jan 20 | Sportiv… v 2 de Ma… | 2-0 |
| Dec 01 | Sportiv… v Naciona… | 1-1 |
| Nov 07 | Sportiv… v Olimpia | 2-1 |
| Nov 03 | Sportiv… v Cerro P… | 2-0 |
| Oct 09 | Sportiv… v Sportiv… | 0-2 |
Cerro Porteño
10.0%
| Feb 11 | Cerro P… v Liberta… | 1-1 |
| Jan 29 | Cerro P… v 2 de Ma… | 0-3 |
| Nov 06 | Cerro P… v Liberta… | 1-1 |
| Nov 03 | Cerro P… v Sportiv… | 2-0 |
| Aug 26 | Cerro P… v Liberta… | 1-1 |
| Aug 20 | Cerro P… v Sportiv… | 2-2 |
| Jun 02 | Cerro P… v Liberta… | 2-0 |
| Dec 13 | Cerro P… v Club Sp… | 1-1 |
| Oct 02 | Cerro P… v Club Sp… | 1-1 |
| Aug 02 | Cerro P… v Club Sp… | 4-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Nov 03, 2023 | Cerro Porteño | 2-0 | Sportivo Luqu… |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Sportivo Luqu… | 2-2 | Cerro Porteño |
Key Factors
Sportivo Luqueño in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.