AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Azadegan League May 18, 2025

Pars Jonoubi JAM

Home
VS
15:30

Mes Soongoun

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Pars Jonoubi JAM Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Mes Soongoun Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 79%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.35 - 0.47
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.5 Position gap: 12 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Pars Jonoubi JAM Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Mes Soongoun Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 0-0 (16%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 28%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Under 2.5 Goals 73%
Pars Jonoubi JAM Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 12 Pars Jono… vs Be'sat Ke… 1-1
Apr 16 Pars Jono… vs Mes Kerman 0-1
Apr 11 Pars Jono… vs Saipa 0-1
Feb 25 Pars Jono… vs Damash Gi… 2-1
Feb 13 Pars Jono… vs Mes Shahr… 0-2
Jan 30 Pars Jono… vs Niroye Za… 0-3
Jan 03 Pars Jono… vs Mes Soong… 1-0
Dec 27 Pars Jono… vs Be'sat Ke… 1-0
Nov 30 Pars Jono… vs Mes Kerman 2-1
Nov 15 Pars Jono… vs Saipa 2-1
Mes Soongoun Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 12 Mes Soong… vs Naft Gach… 2-0
May 06 Mes Soong… vs Damash Gi… 1-0
Apr 22 Mes Soong… vs Mes Shahr… 2-2
Apr 11 Mes Soong… vs Shahrdari… 0-0
Feb 13 Mes Soong… vs Ario Esla… 1-0
Jan 03 Mes Soong… vs Pars Jono… 1-0
Dec 28 Mes Soong… vs Naft Gach… 1-0
Dec 22 Mes Soong… vs Damash Gi… 4-0
Dec 07 Mes Soong… vs Mes Shahr… 1-1
Nov 16 Mes Soong… vs Shahrdari… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 03, 2025 Mes Soongoun 1 - 0 Pars Jonoubi JAM Azadegan League
Apr 15, 2024 Mes Soongoun 1 - 1 Pars Jonoubi JAM Azadegan League
Nov 02, 2023 Pars Jonoubi JAM 2 - 1 Mes Soongoun Azadegan League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Pars Jonoubi JAM to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Pars Jonoubi JAM Power 0
Mes Soongoun Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Pars Jonoubi JAM Position

+12

Position Gap

17

Mes Soongoun Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.