AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de Ascenso Aug 10, 2023

Cariari Pococi

Home
VS
00:00

Escorpiones Belén

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Cariari Pococi Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Escorpiones Belén Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 1.87 - 0.86
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.9
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cariari Pococi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Escorpiones Belén Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (7%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%
Cariari Pococi Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 08 Cariari P… vs Aserri FC 1-3
Mar 05 Cariari P… vs Santa Ana 1-2
Jan 21 Cariari P… vs Santa Ana 0-1
Mar 20 Cariari P… vs AD Cofutpa 2-1
Mar 07 Cariari P… vs AD Carmel… 2-1
Feb 06 Cariari P… vs AD Cofutpa 0-2
Jan 23 Cariari P… vs AD Carmel… 2-1
Nov 11 Cariari P… vs AD Cofutpa 0-3
Oct 18 Cariari P… vs AD Carmel… 0-1
Sep 26 Cariari P… vs AD Cofutpa 2-1
Escorpiones Belén Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 07 Escorpion… vs Limón Bla… 0-1
Apr 22 Escorpion… vs AD Carmel… 5-2
Apr 15 Escorpion… vs AD Carmel… 2-0
Mar 04 Escorpion… vs AD Carmel… 2-1
Jan 21 Escorpion… vs AD Carmel… 3-1
Oct 01 Escorpion… vs AD Carmel… 5-1
Aug 17 Escorpion… vs AD Carmel… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cariari Pococi struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Escorpiones BelĂ©n struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Cariari Pococi to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cariari Pococi Power 0
Escorpiones Belén Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Cariari Pococi Position

-2

Position Gap

1

Escorpiones Belén Position
Home Win Rate: 43%
Away Win Rate: 71%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.