AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Mar 11, 2021

Melbourne City Women

Home
VS
08:05

Western Sydney Wanderers Women

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Melbourne City Women Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Western Sydney Wanderers Women Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 2.11 - 0.33
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.3 Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Melbourne City Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Western Sydney Wanderers Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
72%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (19%) 1-0 (18%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Under 2.5 Goals 58%
Melbourne City Women Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 25 Melbourne… vs Western S… 1-0
Jan 31 Melbourne… vs Brisbane … 2-3
Jan 21 Melbourne… vs Adelaide … 2-1
Jan 03 Melbourne… vs Canberra … 2-1
Dec 29 Melbourne… vs Brisbane … 0-0
Western Sydney Wanderers Women Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 25 Western S… vs Melbourne… 1-0
Feb 18 Western S… vs Perth Glo… 1-0
Feb 11 Western S… vs Brisbane … 1-2
Jan 30 Western S… vs Canberra … 3-0
Jan 23 Western S… vs Newcastle… 4-1
Jan 16 Western S… vs Sydney FC… 2-0
Jan 02 Western S… vs Newcastle… 2-1
Dec 30 Western S… vs Sydney FC… 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Melbourne City Women struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • Western Sydney Wanderers Women struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 25, 2021 Western Sydney Wand… 1 - 0 Melbourne City Women W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Melbourne City Women to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Melbourne City Women Power 0
Western Sydney Wanderers Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Melbourne City Women Position

+9

Position Gap

10

Western Sydney Wanderers Women Position
Home Win Rate: 71%
Away Win Rate: 57%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.