AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League Mar 26, 2025

Red Arrows

Home
VS
13:00

Nchanga Rangers

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Red Arrows Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Nchanga Rangers Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 2.55 - 0.87
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.9
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Red Arrows Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Nchanga Rangers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Red Arrows Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 13 Red Arrows vs Green Eag… 1-1
Feb 23 Red Arrows vs NAPSA Sta… 1-0
Feb 15 Red Arrows vs ZESCO Uni… 1-0
Feb 08 Red Arrows vs Mutondo S… 0-0
Jan 25 Red Arrows vs Kabwe War… 1-1
Jan 11 Red Arrows vs Power Dyn… 3-2
Dec 22 Red Arrows vs Green Eag… 0-0
Dec 19 Red Arrows vs Zanaco 2-2
Nov 27 Red Arrows vs Mufulira … 1-1
Nov 23 Red Arrows vs Nchanga R… 1-0
Nchanga Rangers Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 12 Nchanga R… vs Mufulira … 1-0
Mar 01 Nchanga R… vs Green Eag… 2-2
Feb 22 Nchanga R… vs Nkana 2-0
Feb 15 Nchanga R… vs Nkwazi 2-1
Feb 01 Nchanga R… vs ZESCO Uni… 1-1
Jan 26 Nchanga R… vs Mutondo S… 1-1
Jan 11 Nchanga R… vs Kabwe War… 0-1
Dec 18 Nchanga R… vs Power Dyn… 0-1
Dec 07 Nchanga R… vs Zanaco 1-1
Nov 23 Nchanga R… vs Red Arrows 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 23, 2024 Nchanga Rangers 1 - 0 Red Arrows Super League
Mar 04, 2023 Nchanga Rangers 2 - 2 Red Arrows Super League
Oct 22, 2022 Red Arrows 3 - 1 Nchanga Rangers Super League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Red Arrows to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Red Arrows Power 0
Nchanga Rangers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Red Arrows Position

+2

Position Gap

3

Nchanga Rangers Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 44%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.