AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera Division Aug 03, 2024

Firpo

Home
VS
21:30

Cacahuatique

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Firpo Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Cacahuatique Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 1.84 - 1.25
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 1.2 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Firpo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Cacahuatique Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 1-2 (7%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Firpo Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 25 Firpo vs Municipal… 2-2
Apr 14 Firpo vs Águila 4-2
Apr 07 Firpo vs Alianza 1-0
Feb 25 Firpo vs Municipal… 2-0
Feb 11 Firpo vs Águila 2-1
Jan 28 Firpo vs Alianza 1-3
Nov 26 Firpo vs Águila 2-0
Nov 19 Firpo vs Municipal… 3-2
Oct 01 Firpo vs Águila 0-2
Sep 24 Firpo vs Municipal… 1-1
Cacahuatique Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 01 Cacahuati… vs Alianza 1-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Firpo to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Firpo Power 0
Cacahuatique Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Firpo Position

+6

Position Gap

7

Cacahuatique Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.