AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera B Mar 20, 2023

Barranquilla

Home
VS
21:00

Patriotas Boyacá

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Barranquilla Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Patriotas Boyacá Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 6%
xG: 3.67 - 0.47
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.7 vs 0.5 Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Barranquilla Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Patriotas Boyacá Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (11%) 3-1 (6%) 1-0 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 37%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Barranquilla Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 20 Barranqui… vs Depor FC 3-2
Sep 13 Barranqui… vs Real Sant… 2-1
Feb 23 Barranqui… vs Real Sant… 0-0
Feb 19 Barranqui… vs Depor FC 1-0
Feb 13 Barranqui… vs Real Sant… 2-3
Feb 09 Barranqui… vs Real Sant… 3-0
Patriotas Boyacá Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 09 Patriotas… vs Popayan 4-0
Feb 20 Patriotas… vs Real Sant… 1-0
Feb 09 Patriotas… vs Real Cart… 3-2
Aug 04 Patriotas… vs Real Sant… 3-2
Jul 28 Patriotas… vs Real Sant… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Barranquilla in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Patriotas Boyacá in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Barranquilla to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Barranquilla Power 0
Patriotas Boyacá Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Barranquilla Position

+5

Position Gap

9

Patriotas Boyacá Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.