AI Match Insights

DFB Pokal Feb 11, 2026

Bayern Munich

Home
VS
19:45

RB Leipzig

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Bayern Munich Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
RB Leipzig Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 1.92 - 1.09
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 1.1
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bayern Munich Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
RB Leipzig Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Bayern Munich Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Bayern Mu… vs Hamburger… 2-2
Jan 28 Bayern Mu… vs PSV Eindh… 0-0
Jan 24 Bayern Mu… vs FC Augsbu… 1-2
Jan 21 Bayern Mu… vs Union Sai… 2-0
Jan 17 Bayern Mu… vs RB Leipzig 1-5
Jan 14 Bayern Mu… vs FC Koln 1-3
Jan 11 Bayern Mu… vs VfL Wolfs… 8-1
Jan 06 Bayern Mu… vs RB Salzbu… 0-5
Dec 21 Bayern Mu… vs FC Heiden… 0-4
Dec 14 Bayern Mu… vs FSV Mainz… 2-2
RB Leipzig Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz… 1-2
Jan 27 RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pa… 1-1
Jan 24 RB Leipzig vs FC Heiden… 0-3
Jan 17 RB Leipzig vs Bayern Mu… 1-5
Jan 14 RB Leipzig vs SC Freibu… 2-0
Dec 20 RB Leipzig vs Bayer Lev… 1-3
Dec 12 RB Leipzig vs Union Ber… 3-1
Dec 06 RB Leipzig vs Eintracht… 6-0
Dec 02 RB Leipzig vs FC Magdeb… 3-1
Nov 28 RB Leipzig vs Borussia … 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 17, 2026 RB Leipzig 1 - 5 Bayern Munich Bundesliga
Aug 22, 2025 Bayern Munich 6 - 0 RB Leipzig Bundesliga
May 03, 2025 RB Leipzig 3 - 3 Bayern Munich Bundesliga
Dec 20, 2024 Bayern Munich 5 - 1 RB Leipzig Bundesliga
Dec 20, 2024 Bayern Munich 5 - 1 RB Leipzig Pro League
Feb 24, 2024 Bayern Munich 2 - 1 RB Leipzig Bundesliga
Feb 24, 2024 Bayern Munich 2 - 1 RB Leipzig Pro League
Sep 30, 2023 RB Leipzig 2 - 2 Bayern Munich Bundesliga
Aug 12, 2023 Bayern Munich 0 - 3 RB Leipzig Super Cup
May 20, 2023 Bayern Munich 1 - 3 RB Leipzig Bundesliga
Final Verdict

MASTER: Bayern Munich to win (80% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 80% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Power: 70 vs 41
Bayern Munich Power 70
RB Leipzig Power 41
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.