DFB Pokal · Feb 03, 2026 19:45

Bayer Leverkusen
PWR 42

FC St. Pauli
PWR 35

Bayer Leverkusen
PWR 42
3 - 0
FT

FC St. Pauli
PWR 35
59% H
22% D
19% A
Final Verdict
Bayer Leverkusen Win
Prediction
5-1
Score
77%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (13%)
1-1 (13%)
0-0 (10%)
0-1 (9%)
2-0 (9%)
2-1 (9%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 3-0
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 77%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy77%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPHOME_FORMAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Full data available (Tier 1)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskâś“ Passed (4 independent rules, 77% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack60
Defense59
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.4
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Bayer Leverkus… Form
WWWLL
UP
FC St. Pauli Form
LDDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.541%
BTTS47%
Under 2.559%
Bayer Lever… Goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
FC St. Pauli Goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Bayer Leverkus…vs
0.98
FC St. PauliDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum65%
Standings50%
Market66%
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Bayer Lever…+17
Gap#19
FC St. Pauli
WR 91% 30 pts
WR 33% 8 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 9 | 30 |
| FC St. Pauli | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 8 |
Bayer Leverkus…
12.0%
| Jan 31 | Bayer L… v Eintrac… | 1-3 |
| Jan 28 | Bayer L… v Villarr… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Bayer L… v Werder … | 1-0 |
| Jan 20 | Bayer L… v Olympia… | 2-0 |
| Jan 17 | Bayer L… v 1899 Ho… | 1-0 |
| Jan 10 | Bayer L… v VfB Stu… | 1-4 |
| Dec 20 | Bayer L… v RB Leip… | 1-3 |
| Dec 13 | Bayer L… v FC Koln | 2-0 |
| Dec 10 | Bayer L… v Newcast… | 2-2 |
| Dec 06 | Bayer L… v FC Augs… | 2-0 |
FC St. Pauli
4.0%
| Jan 31 | FC St. … v FC Augs… | 2-1 |
| Jan 27 | FC St. … v RB Leip… | 1-1 |
| Jan 23 | FC St. … v Hamburg… | 0-0 |
| Jan 17 | FC St. … v Borussi… | 3-2 |
| Jan 14 | FC St. … v VfL Wol… | 2-1 |
| Dec 21 | FC St. … v FSV Mai… | 0-0 |
| Dec 13 | FC St. … v FC Heid… | 2-1 |
| Dec 06 | FC St. … v FC Koln | 1-1 |
| Dec 02 | FC St. … v Borussi… | 1-2 |
| Nov 29 | FC St. … v Bayern … | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Sep 27, 2025 | FC St. Pauli | 1-2 | Bayer Leverku… |
| Apr 20, 2025 | FC St. Pauli | 1-1 | Bayer Leverku… |
| Dec 07, 2024 | Bayer Leverku… | 2-1 | FC St. Pauli |
| Dec 07, 2024 | Bayer Leverku… | 2-1 | FC St. Pauli |
Key Factors
Bayer Leverkusen in strong form (3W in last 5)
FC St. Pauli struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.