DFB Pokal · Feb 03, 2026 19:45

Bayer Leverkusen
PWR 42
3 - 0
FT

FC St. Pauli
PWR 35
59% H 22% D 19% A
Final Verdict
Bayer Leverkusen Win
Prediction
5-1
Score
77%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (13%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (10%) 0-1 (9%) 2-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 3-0
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 77%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy77%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPHOME_FORMAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Full data available (Tier 1)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskâś“ Passed (4 independent rules, 77% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack60
Defense59
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.4
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Bayer Leverkus… Form WWWLL
UP
FC St. Pauli Form LDDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.541%
BTTS47%
Under 2.559%
Bayer Lever… Goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
FC St. Pauli Goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Bayer Leverkus…
vs
0.98
FC St. Pauli
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum65%
Standings50%
Market66%
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Bayer Lever…
+17
Gap
#19
FC St. Pauli
WR 91% 30 pts WR 33% 8 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Bayer Leverkusen11100127930
FC St. Pauli62229128
Bayer Leverkus… 12.0%
Jan 31 Bayer L… v Eintrac… 1-3
Jan 28 Bayer L… v Villarr… 1-0
Jan 24 Bayer L… v Werder … 1-0
Jan 20 Bayer L… v Olympia… 2-0
Jan 17 Bayer L… v 1899 Ho… 1-0
Jan 10 Bayer L… v VfB Stu… 1-4
Dec 20 Bayer L… v RB Leip… 1-3
Dec 13 Bayer L… v FC Koln 2-0
Dec 10 Bayer L… v Newcast… 2-2
Dec 06 Bayer L… v FC Augs… 2-0
FC St. Pauli 4.0%
Jan 31 FC St. … v FC Augs… 2-1
Jan 27 FC St. … v RB Leip… 1-1
Jan 23 FC St. … v Hamburg… 0-0
Jan 17 FC St. … v Borussi… 3-2
Jan 14 FC St. … v VfL Wol… 2-1
Dec 21 FC St. … v FSV Mai… 0-0
Dec 13 FC St. … v FC Heid… 2-1
Dec 06 FC St. … v FC Koln 1-1
Dec 02 FC St. … v Borussi… 1-2
Nov 29 FC St. … v Bayern … 3-1
Head-to-Head (4)
Sep 27, 2025 FC St. Pauli 1-2 Bayer Leverku…
Apr 20, 2025 FC St. Pauli 1-1 Bayer Leverku…
Dec 07, 2024 Bayer Leverku… 2-1 FC St. Pauli
Dec 07, 2024 Bayer Leverku… 2-1 FC St. Pauli
Key Factors
Bayer Leverkusen in strong form (3W in last 5)
FC St. Pauli struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.