State Cup · Feb 04, 2026 18:00
Maccabi Tel Aviv
PWR 71
Hapoel Beer Sheva
PWR 76
Maccabi Tel Aviv
PWR 71
0 - 3
FT
Hapoel Beer Sheva
PWR 76
33% H
27% D
40% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Maccabi Tel Aviv to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (19%)
0-0 (19%)
1-1 (12%)
1-0 (12%)
0-2 (10%)
1-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack90
Defense58
Goals/G2.6
Conc/G1.2
Attack73
Defense74
Goals/G2.1
Conc/G0.8
Maccabi Tel Av… Form
WDLLL
STABLE
Hapoel Beer Sh… Form
WWLWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.524%
BTTS31%
Under 2.576%
Maccabi Tel… Goals
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Hapoel Beer… Goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64
Maccabi Tel Av…vs
1.04
Hapoel Beer Sh…Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum46%
Standings50%
Market35%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Maccabi Tel…-1
Gap#2
Hapoel Beer…
WR 64% 29 pts
WR 83% 30 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 36 | 17 | 29 |
| Hapoel Beer She… | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 30 |
Maccabi Tel Av…
6.0%
| Feb 02 | Maccabi… v Ironi K… | 1-4 |
| Jan 29 | Maccabi… v Bologna | 0-0 |
| Jan 26 | Maccabi… v Hapoel … | 1-2 |
| Jan 22 | Maccabi… v SC Frei… | 1-0 |
| Jan 18 | Maccabi… v Maccabi… | 4-1 |
| Jan 14 | Maccabi… v Hapoel … | 1-1 |
| Jan 13 | Maccabi… v Hapoel … | 1-2 |
| Jan 10 | Maccabi… v Bnei Sa… | 1-0 |
| Jan 03 | Maccabi… v Hapoel … | 1-3 |
| Dec 30 | Maccabi… v Ironi T… | 1-1 |
Hapoel Beer Sh…
14.0%
| Jan 31 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 0-2 |
| Jan 24 | Hapoel … v Ironi K… | 3-2 |
| Jan 19 | Hapoel … v Hapoel … | 2-1 |
| Jan 13 | Hapoel … v Hapoel … | 2-1 |
| Jan 10 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 0-0 |
| Jan 03 | Hapoel … v Bnei Sa… | 0-5 |
| Dec 31 | Hapoel … v Hapoel … | 4-1 |
| Dec 20 | Hapoel … v Ironi T… | 3-0 |
| Dec 13 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 2-0 |
| Dec 07 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 07, 2025 | Hapoel Beer S… | 1-0 | Maccabi Tel A… |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Maccabi Tel A… | 1-2 | Hapoel Beer S… |
| May 05, 2025 | Maccabi Tel A… | 1-1 | Hapoel Beer S… |
| Mar 31, 2025 | Hapoel Beer S… | 1-3 | Maccabi Tel A… |
| Feb 01, 2025 | Maccabi Tel A… | 1-0 | Hapoel Beer S… |
| Jan 01, 2025 | Hapoel Beer S… | 2-2 | Maccabi Tel A… |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Hapoel Beer S… | 1-1 | Maccabi Tel A… |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Maccabi Tel A… | 1-0 | Hapoel Beer S… |
| May 18, 2024 | Maccabi Tel A… | 3-0 | Hapoel Beer S… |
| May 09, 2024 | Hapoel Beer S… | 2-1 | Maccabi Tel A… |
Key Factors
Hapoel Beer Sheva in strong form (3W in last 5)
Maccabi Tel Aviv struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.