AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Oct 19, 2024

Motherwell

Home
VS
14:00

Dundee Utd

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Motherwell Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Dundee Utd Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 71%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 12%
xG: 2.87 - 0.70
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 0.7
Score Prediction Analysis
Motherwell Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Dundee Utd Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Motherwell Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 05 Motherwell vs Hibernian 1-2
Sep 28 Motherwell vs St. Mirren 2-1
Sep 20 Motherwell vs Dundee Utd 2-1
Sep 14 Motherwell vs Aberdeen 2-1
Aug 25 Motherwell vs Heart of … 3-1
Aug 18 Motherwell vs Kilmarnock 1-0
Aug 10 Motherwell vs Rangers FC 2-1
Aug 03 Motherwell vs Ross Coun… 0-0
Jul 06 Motherwell vs Livingston 2-1
May 19 Motherwell vs ST Johnst… 1-2
Dundee Utd Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 05 Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock 2-3
Oct 05 Dundee Utd vs St. Mirren 0-1
Sep 28 Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen 1-2
Sep 28 Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock 3-3
Sep 21 Dundee Utd vs Rangers FC 3-0
Sep 20 Dundee Utd vs Motherwell 2-1
Sep 15 Dundee Utd vs Rangers FC 0-1
Sep 01 Dundee Utd vs Heart of … 0-1
Aug 31 Dundee Utd vs St. Mirren 2-2
Aug 24 Dundee Utd vs Hibernian 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Motherwell in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Dundee Utd struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 20, 2024 Motherwell 2 - 1 Dundee Utd League Cup
Apr 06, 2024 Dundee Utd 2 - 3 Motherwell Premiership
Dec 02, 2023 Motherwell 3 - 3 Dundee Utd Premiership
Aug 05, 2023 Dundee Utd 1 - 1 Motherwell Premiership
May 28, 2023 Motherwell 3 - 2 Dundee Utd Premiership
Apr 15, 2023 Motherwell 1 - 2 Dundee Utd Premiership
Oct 29, 2022 Dundee Utd 0 - 1 Motherwell Premiership
Sep 03, 2022 Motherwell 0 - 0 Dundee Utd Premiership
Apr 30, 2022 Dundee Utd 1 - 0 Motherwell Premiership
Mar 05, 2022 Motherwell 1 - 1 Dundee Utd Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Motherwell Power 0
Dundee Utd Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Motherwell Position

+4

Position Gap

8

Dundee Utd Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 17%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.