AI Match Insights

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Primera Division Apr 01, 2024

Managua FC

Home
VS
23:00

Matagalpa

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Managua FC Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Matagalpa Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 68%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 12%
xG: 3.78 - 0.55
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Managua FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Matagalpa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (5%) 1-0 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Managua FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 13 Managua FC vs H&H Export 2-1
Feb 24 Managua FC vs Managua FC 1-3
Feb 18 Managua FC vs Jalapa 3-0
Feb 11 Managua FC vs Walter Feā€¦ 1-0
Jan 28 Managua FC vs Matagalpa 3-1
Nov 30 Managua FC vs Managua FC 4-1
Nov 26 Managua FC vs H&H Export 5-1
Oct 23 Managua FC vs Walter Feā€¦ 1-0
Oct 01 Managua FC vs Matagalpa 0-3
Sep 19 Managua FC vs H&H Export 5-0
Matagalpa Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 18 Matagalpa vs Walter Feā€¦ 2-1
Mar 02 Matagalpa vs H&H Export 1-1
Jan 28 Matagalpa vs Managua FC 3-1
Jan 21 Matagalpa vs Walter Feā€¦ 1-0
Nov 09 Matagalpa vs H&H Export 2-0
Oct 01 Matagalpa vs Managua FC 0-3
Aug 05 Matagalpa vs Managua FC 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Matagalpa in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Managua FC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 28, 2024 Matagalpa 3 - 1 Managua FC Primera Divisiā€¦
Oct 01, 2023 Matagalpa 0 - 3 Managua FC Primera Divisiā€¦
Aug 05, 2023 Managua FC 1 - 2 Matagalpa Primera Divisiā€¦
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Managua FC to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Managua FC Power 0
Matagalpa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Managua FC Position

+2

Position Gap

5

Matagalpa Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.