Ligue 1 · Jan 28, 2023 16:00

Estac Troyes
PWR 42

Lens
PWR 44

Estac Troyes
PWR 42
1 - 1
FT

Lens
PWR 44
31% H
28% D
41% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (23%)
0-1 (20%)
1-0 (13%)
1-1 (12%)
0-2 (9%)
1-2 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack47
Defense71
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.0
Attack51
Defense76
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.8
Estac Troyes Form
DLLLW
STABLE
Lens Form
WDDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.518%
BTTS26%
Under 2.582%
Estac Troyes Goals
0
56%
1
33%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Lens Goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.58
Estac Troyesvs
0.89
LensDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum47%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#25
Estac Troyes-23
Gap#2
Lens
WR 17% 8 pts
WR 54% 189 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estac Troyes | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 8 |
| Lens | 104 | 56 | 21 | 27 | 154 | 106 | 189 |
Estac Troyes
6.0%
| Oct 02 | Estac T… v Reims | 2-2 |
| Sep 09 | Estac T… v Lens | 1-0 |
| Aug 19 | Estac T… v Lyon | 4-1 |
| May 14 | Estac T… v Lens | 1-3 |
| Apr 03 | Estac T… v Reims | 1-0 |
| Jan 16 | Estac T… v Lyon | 0-1 |
| Dec 18 | Estac T… v Annecy | 1-1 |
| Nov 05 | Estac T… v Lens | 4-0 |
| Oct 24 | Estac T… v Reims | 1-2 |
| Sep 22 | Estac T… v Lyon | 3-1 |
Lens
16.0%
| Jan 14 | Lens v Auxerre | 1-0 |
| Jan 11 | Lens v Strasbo… | 2-2 |
| Dec 29 | Lens v Nice | 0-0 |
| Dec 17 | Lens v LE Havr… | 3-0 |
| Nov 05 | Lens v Angers | 1-2 |
| Oct 28 | Lens v Toulouse | 3-0 |
| Oct 22 | Lens v Marseil… | 0-1 |
| Sep 18 | Lens v Nantes | 0-0 |
| Sep 09 | Lens v Estac T… | 1-0 |
| Aug 27 | Lens v Rennes … | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Sep 09, 2022 | Lens | 1-0 | Estac Troyes |
| May 14, 2022 | Estac Troyes | 1-3 | Lens |
| Nov 05, 2021 | Lens | 4-0 | Estac Troyes |
Key Factors
Lens in strong form (3W in last 5)
Estac Troyes struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.