Ligue 1 · Jan 28, 2023 16:00

Estac Troyes
PWR 42
1 - 1
FT

Lens
PWR 44
31% H 28% D 41% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (23%) 0-1 (20%) 1-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 0-2 (9%) 1-2 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack47
Defense71
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.0
Attack51
Defense76
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.8
Estac Troyes Form DLLLW
STABLE
Lens Form WDDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.518%
BTTS26%
Under 2.582%
Estac Troyes Goals
0
56%
1
33%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Lens Goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.58
Estac Troyes
vs
0.89
Lens
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum47%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#25
Estac Troyes
-23
Gap
#2
Lens
WR 17% 8 pts WR 54% 189 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Estac Troyes1222810278
Lens104562127154106189
Estac Troyes 6.0%
Oct 02 Estac T… v Reims 2-2
Sep 09 Estac T… v Lens 1-0
Aug 19 Estac T… v Lyon 4-1
May 14 Estac T… v Lens 1-3
Apr 03 Estac T… v Reims 1-0
Jan 16 Estac T… v Lyon 0-1
Dec 18 Estac T… v Annecy 1-1
Nov 05 Estac T… v Lens 4-0
Oct 24 Estac T… v Reims 1-2
Sep 22 Estac T… v Lyon 3-1
Lens 16.0%
Jan 14 Lens v Auxerre 1-0
Jan 11 Lens v Strasbo… 2-2
Dec 29 Lens v Nice 0-0
Dec 17 Lens v LE Havr… 3-0
Nov 05 Lens v Angers 1-2
Oct 28 Lens v Toulouse 3-0
Oct 22 Lens v Marseil… 0-1
Sep 18 Lens v Nantes 0-0
Sep 09 Lens v Estac T… 1-0
Aug 27 Lens v Rennes … 2-1
Head-to-Head (3)
Sep 09, 2022 Lens 1-0 Estac Troyes
May 14, 2022 Estac Troyes 1-3 Lens
Nov 05, 2021 Lens 4-0 Estac Troyes
Key Factors
Lens in strong form (3W in last 5)
Estac Troyes struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.