Predictions Match Details
Ligue 1 · May 14, 2022 19:00

Estac Troyes
PWR 42
1 - 3
FT

Lens
PWR 44
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (11%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 0-1 (7%) 0-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack47
Defense71
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.0
Attack51
Defense76
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.8
Estac Troyes Form WLDLW
STABLE
Lens Form DWLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.551%
BTTS54%
Under 2.549%
Estac Troyes Goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Lens Goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Estac Troyes
vs
1.06
Lens
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum69%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#25
Estac Troyes
-23
Gap
#2
Lens
WR 17% 8 pts WR 54% 189 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Estac Troyes1222810278
Lens104562127154106189
Estac Troyes 10.0%
Apr 03 Estac T… v Reims 1-0
Jan 16 Estac T… v Lyon 0-1
Dec 18 Estac T… v Nancy 1-1
Nov 05 Estac T… v Lens 4-0
Oct 24 Estac T… v Reims 1-2
Sep 22 Estac T… v Lyon 3-1
Apr 03 Estac T… v Guingamp 1-0
Mar 13 Estac T… v Nancy 1-5
Feb 13 Estac T… v Rodez 2-1
Dec 15 Estac T… v Nancy 2-3
Lens 10.0%
Apr 30 Lens v Nantes 2-2
Apr 10 Lens v Nice 3-0
Apr 03 Lens v Strasbo… 1-0
Feb 27 Lens v Angers 1-2
Jan 22 Lens v Marseil… 0-2
Jan 08 Lens v Rennes … 1-0
Dec 22 Lens v Nice 2-1
Dec 10 Lens v Nantes 3-2
Nov 26 Lens v Angers 2-2
Nov 05 Lens v Estac T… 4-0
Head-to-Head (1)
Nov 05, 2021 Lens 4-0 Estac Troyes
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.