Predictions Match Details
Ligue 1 · Nov 05, 2021 20:00

Lens
PWR 44
4 - 0
FT

Estac Troyes
PWR 42
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
Lens Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
76%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (13%) 1-0 (10%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (8%) 0-0 (8%) 1-2 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 4-0
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 7 rules · 76%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy76%
TOP3_VS_BOTTOMPOSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (7 rules, 76% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack51
Defense76
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.8
Attack47
Defense71
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.0
Lens Form WLDDW
STABLE
Estac Troyes Form WLWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.546%
BTTS51%
Under 2.554%
Lens Goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Estac Troyes Goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Lens
vs
1.25
Estac Troyes
Decision Breakdown
TOP3vsBot (75.8%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Lens
+23
Gap
#25
Estac Troyes
WR 54% 189 pts WR 17% 8 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Lens104562127154106189
Estac Troyes1222810278
Lens 12.0%
Sep 26 Lens v Marseil… 2-3
Sep 22 Lens v Strasbo… 0-1
Aug 08 Lens v Rennes … 1-1
Jul 17 Lens v LE Havr… 2-2
Mar 21 Lens v Strasbo… 1-2
Feb 28 Lens v Angers 2-2
Feb 10 Lens v Nantes 2-4
Feb 06 Lens v Rennes … 0-0
Feb 03 Lens v Marseil… 2-2
Jan 23 Lens v Nice 0-1
Estac Troyes 12.0%
Oct 24 Estac T… v Reims 1-2
Sep 22 Estac T… v Lyon 3-1
Apr 03 Estac T… v Guingamp 1-0
Mar 13 Estac T… v Nancy 1-5
Feb 13 Estac T… v Rodez 2-1
Dec 15 Estac T… v Nancy 2-3
Dec 01 Estac T… v Guingamp 1-2
Oct 17 Estac T… v Rodez 0-1
Jul 09 Estac T… v Reims 3-1
Key Factors
Estac Troyes in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.