Coupe de France · Feb 09, 2021 17:30

Lorient
PWR 33
2 - 1
FT

Paris FC
PWR 31
37% H 27% D 36% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Lorient to win (85% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
85%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (21%) 0-0 (16%) 0-2 (14%) 1-1 (11%) 1-0 (9%) 1-2 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack41
Defense54
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.6
Attack39
Defense49
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.7
Lorient Form DLDLL
STABLE
Paris FC Form LWLLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.528%
BTTS30%
Under 2.572%
Lorient Goals
0
59%
1
31%
2
8%
3
2%
4
0%
Paris FC Goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.53
Lorient
vs
1.30
Paris FC
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum39%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#29
Lorient
+23
Gap
#52
Paris FC
WR 50% 9 pts WR 33% 6 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Lorient63038129
Paris FC6204496
Lorient 4.0%
Feb 03 Lorient v Rennes … 1-1
Jan 06 Lorient v Monaco 2-5
Dec 23 Lorient v Nice 2-2
Dec 20 Lorient v Rennes … 0-3
Oct 04 Lorient v Metz 3-1
Sep 27 Lorient v Lyon 1-1
Aug 23 Lorient v Strasbo… 3-1
Paris FC 8.0%
Feb 06 Paris FC v LE Havr… 1-0
Jan 19 Paris FC v LE Havr… 0-1
Jan 05 Paris FC v Toulouse 1-0
Nov 21 Paris FC v Auxerre 0-3
Nov 04 Paris FC v Omonia … 0-2
Oct 21 Paris FC v Ethniko… 1-4
Oct 03 Paris FC v LE Havr… 3-0
Key Factors
Lorient struggling (3L in last 5)
Paris FC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.