Ligue 1 · Dec 15, 2024 14:00
Montpellier HSC
PWR 37
Nice
PWR 29
Montpellier HSC
PWR 37
2 - 2
FT
Nice
PWR 29
33% H
27% D
40% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (10%)
1-2 (9%)
2-1 (8%)
0-1 (7%)
2-2 (7%)
1-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack34
Defense70
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.0
Attack41
Defense43
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.9
Montpellier HSC Form
LDLLW
STABLE
Nice Form
WLWWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.561%
BTTS64%
Under 2.539%
Montpellier… Goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
Nice Goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4
7%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Montpellier HSCvs
1.72
NiceDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#20
Montpellier…-17
Gap#3
Nice
WR 23% 38 pts
WR 46% 180 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier HSC | 43 | 10 | 8 | 25 | 38 | 77 | 38 |
| Nice | 110 | 50 | 30 | 30 | 166 | 123 | 180 |
Montpellier HSC
6.0%
| Dec 08 | Montpel… v Lens | 2-0 |
| Dec 01 | Montpel… v Lille | 2-2 |
| Nov 23 | Montpel… v St Etie… | 1-0 |
| Nov 23 | Montpel… v Saint-É… | 1-0 |
| Nov 10 | Montpel… v Brest | 3-1 |
| Nov 03 | Montpel… v LE Havr… | 1-0 |
| Oct 27 | Montpel… v Toulouse | 0-3 |
| Oct 20 | Montpel… v Marseil… | 0-5 |
| Oct 06 | Montpel… v Reims | 4-2 |
| Sep 28 | Montpel… v Monaco | 2-1 |
Nice
14.0%
| Dec 07 | Nice v LE Havr… | 2-1 |
| Dec 01 | Nice v Lyon | 4-1 |
| Nov 24 | Nice v Strasbo… | 2-1 |
| Nov 24 | Nice v Strasbo… | 2-1 |
| Nov 10 | Nice v Lille | 2-2 |
| Nov 02 | Nice v Stade B… | 0-1 |
| Nov 02 | Nice v Brest | 0-1 |
| Oct 27 | Nice v Monaco | 2-1 |
| Oct 27 | Nice v Monaco | 2-1 |
| Oct 20 | Nice v Nantes | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Mar 08, 2024 | Nice | 1-2 | Montpellier H… |
| Mar 08, 2024 | Nice | 1-2 | Montpellier H… |
| Feb 07, 2024 | Montpellier H… | 1-4 | Nice |
| Nov 10, 2023 | Montpellier H… | 0-0 | Nice |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Nice | 1-0 | Montpellier H… |
| May 27, 2023 | Montpellier H… | 2-3 | Nice |
| Jan 11, 2023 | Nice | 6-1 | Montpellier H… |
| Mar 12, 2022 | Montpellier H… | 0-0 | Nice |
Key Factors
Nice in strong form (3W in last 5)
Montpellier HSC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.