La Liga · Feb 11, 2023 20:00
Valencia
PWR 29
Athletic Club
PWR 30
Valencia
PWR 29
1 - 2
FT
Athletic Club
PWR 30
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
2-0 (6%)
2-1 (5%)
3-2 (3%)
1-0 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Weak home team = higher draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (32.0%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack31
Defense52
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.6
Attack29
Defense58
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.4
Valencia Form
LLWDW
DOWN
Athletic Club Form
LWLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.563%
BTTS56%
Under 2.537%
Valencia Goals
0
2%
1
6%
2
13%
3
19%
4
20%
Athletic Cl… Goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.18
Valenciavs
0.85
Athletic ClubDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings36%
Market50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#17
Valencia-7
Gap#10
Athletic Cl…
WR 36% 23 pts
WR 18% 28 pts
Valencia
10.0%
| Feb 02 | Valencia v Real Ma… | 2-0 |
| Jan 26 | Valencia v Athleti… | 1-3 |
| Jan 18 | Valencia v Sportin… | 0-4 |
| Jan 11 | Valencia v Real Ma… | 1-1 |
| Nov 10 | Valencia v Real Be… | 3-0 |
| Oct 22 | Valencia v Mallorca | 1-2 |
| Oct 18 | Valencia v Sevilla… | 1-1 |
| Oct 15 | Valencia v Elche | 2-2 |
| Oct 02 | Valencia v Espanyol | 2-2 |
| Sep 17 | Valencia v Celta d… | 3-0 |
Athletic Club
6.0%
| Jan 29 | Athleti… v Celta d… | 1-0 |
| Jan 26 | Athleti… v Valencia | 1-3 |
| Jan 22 | Athleti… v Real Ma… | 0-2 |
| Jan 14 | Athleti… v Real So… | 3-1 |
| Jan 09 | Athleti… v Osasuna | 0-0 |
| Oct 23 | Athleti… v FC Barc… | 4-0 |
| Oct 15 | Athleti… v Atlétic… | 0-1 |
| Oct 08 | Athleti… v Sevilla… | 1-1 |
| Aug 21 | Athleti… v Valencia | 1-0 |
| Aug 15 | Athleti… v Mallorca | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Jan 26, 2023 | Valencia | 1-3 | Athletic Club |
| Aug 21, 2022 | Athletic Club | 1-0 | Valencia |
| May 07, 2022 | Athletic Club | 0-0 | Valencia |
| Mar 02, 2022 | Valencia | 1-0 | Athletic Club |
Key Factors
Athletic Club struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.