AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
La Liga Aug 21, 2022

Athletic Club

Home
VS
15:30

Valencia

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Athletic Club Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Valencia Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 68%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.50 - 0.20
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Athletic Club Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Valencia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (50%) 1-0 (25%) 0-1 (10%) 2-0 (6%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 7%
Over 2.5 Goals 3%
Under 2.5 Goals 97%
Athletic Club Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 15 Athletic … vs Mallorca 0-0
Aug 05 Athletic … vs Real Soci… 1-0
May 22 Athletic … vs Sevilla FC 1-0
May 07 Athletic … vs Valencia 0-0
Apr 30 Athletic … vs Atlético … 2-0
Apr 17 Athletic … vs Celta de … 0-2
Mar 07 Athletic … vs Levante 3-1
Mar 02 Athletic … vs Valencia 1-0
Feb 27 Athletic … vs FC Barcel… 4-0
Feb 20 Athletic … vs Real Soci… 4-0
Valencia Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 21 Valencia vs Celta de … 2-0
May 14 Valencia vs Espanyol 1-1
May 10 Valencia vs Real Betis 0-3
May 07 Valencia vs Athletic … 0-0
Apr 30 Valencia vs Levante 1-1
Apr 23 Valencia vs Real Betis 1-1
Mar 19 Valencia vs Elche 0-1
Mar 12 Valencia vs Getafe 0-0
Mar 02 Valencia vs Athletic … 1-0
Feb 26 Valencia vs Mallorca 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 07, 2022 Athletic Club 0 - 0 Valencia La Liga
Mar 02, 2022 Valencia 1 - 0 Athletic Club Copa del Rey
Final Verdict

PRO: Athletic Club to win (70% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 70% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Athletic Club Power 30
Valencia Power 29
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Athletic Club Position

+5

Position Gap

16

Valencia Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.