Bundesliga · Oct 26, 2024 13:30

VfB Stuttgart
PWR 46
2 - 1
FT

Holstein Kiel
PWR 45
47% H 25% D 28% A
Final Verdict
VfB Stuttgart Win
Prediction
3-2
Score
74%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (6%) 3-2 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 3-0 (4%) 2-2 (3%) 2-0 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 5 rules · 74%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy68%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdâś“ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (5 rules, 74% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack90
Defense40
Goals/G3.0
Conc/G2.0
Attack45
Defense85
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G0.5
VfB Stuttgart Form LLDDD
DOWN
Holstein Kiel Form LDLDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.565%
BTTS78%
Under 2.535%
VfB Stuttga… Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
12%
3
17%
4
19%
Holstein Ki… Goals
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.44
VfB Stuttgart
vs
1.54
Holstein Kiel
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
VfB Stuttga…
+17
Gap
#21
Holstein Ki…
WR 40% 170 pts WR 24% 20 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
VfB Stuttgart120482646201184170
Holstein Kiel215511354720
VfB Stuttgart 6.0%
Oct 19 VfB Stu… v Bayern … 4-0
Oct 19 VfB Stu… v Bayern … 4-0
Oct 06 VfB Stu… v 1899 Ho… 1-1
Oct 06 VfB Stu… v 1899 Ho… 1-1
Sep 28 VfB Stu… v VfL Wol… 2-2
Sep 22 VfB Stu… v Borussi… 5-1
Sep 22 VfB Stu… v Borussi… 5-1
Sep 14 VfB Stu… v Borussi… 1-3
Sep 14 VfB Stu… v M'gladb… 1-3
Aug 31 VfB Stu… v Mainz 3-3
Holstein Kiel 4.0%
Oct 20 Holstei… v Union B… 0-2
Oct 05 Holstei… v Bayer L… 2-2
Sep 29 Holstei… v Eintrac… 2-4
Sep 21 Holstei… v VfL Boc… 2-2
Sep 14 Holstei… v Bayern … 1-6
Aug 31 Holstei… v VfL Wol… 0-2
Aug 24 Holstei… v 1899 Ho… 3-2
May 19 Holstei… v Hannove… 1-2
May 19 Holstei… v Hannove… 1-2
May 11 Holstei… v Fortuna… 1-1
Head-to-Head (1)
May 24, 2020 Holstein Kiel 3-2 VfB Stuttgart
Key Factors
Holstein Kiel struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.