AI Match Insights
Pro League Aug 11, 2023
Al-Ahli Saudi
HomeVS
18:00
Al-Hazem
AwayAI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Al-Ahli Saudi Win
Draw
Al-Hazem Win
Home Win
(59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
80%
Standings
85%
Market
50%
Combined: 54%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.31 - 0.30
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.3
Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Ahli Saudi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Al-Hazem Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%)
0-0 (20%)
2-0 (17%)
1-1 (8%)
3-0 (7%)
0-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
22%
Under 2.5 Goals
78%
Al-Ahli Saudi Form 18.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| May 29 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Hazem | 0-0 |
| May 23 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Qadisi… | 1-0 |
| May 19 | Al-Ahli S… vs Damac | 0-1 |
| Apr 18 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Nassr | 2-0 |
| Apr 04 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Fateh … | 0-2 |
| Apr 01 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al Khalee… | 2-0 |
| Mar 14 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Fateh … | 3-1 |
| Mar 12 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al Riyadh | 0-2 |
| Mar 10 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al Taawou… | 0-4 |
| Mar 06 | Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Fateh … | 1-2 |
Al-Hazem Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| May 29 | Al-Hazem vs Al-Ahli S… | 0-0 |
| Apr 03 | Al-Hazem vs Al Riyadh | 0-0 |
| Mar 06 | Al-Hazem vs Al-Qadisi… | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | Al-Hazem vs Al Akhdoud | 0-2 |
| Jan 18 | Al-Hazem vs Al-Ahli S… | 1-0 |
| Oct 31 | Al-Hazem vs Al Riyadh | 2-1 |
| Oct 10 | Al-Hazem vs Al-Qadisi… | 1-0 |
| Sep 17 | Al-Hazem vs Al Akhdoud | 1-1 |
| Mar 18 | Al-Hazem vs Al-Ittiha… | 3-0 |
| Mar 12 | Al-Hazem vs Damac | 0-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Al-Ahli Saudi in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2023 | Al-Hazem | 0 - 0 | Al-Ahli Saudi | First Division… |
| Jan 18, 2023 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 1 - 0 | Al-Hazem | First Division… |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 2 - 0 | Al-Hazem | Pro League |
| Jan 15, 2022 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 1 - 0 | Al-Hazem | Pro League |
| Sep 30, 2021 | Al-Hazem | 1 - 1 | Al-Ahli Saudi | Pro League |
| Aug 19, 2021 | Al-Hazem | 2 - 2 | Al-Ahli Saudi | Pro League |
| Aug 29, 2020 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 4 - 1 | Al-Hazem | Pro League |
| Aug 04, 2020 | Al-Ahli Saudi | 4 - 2 | Al-Hazem | Pro League |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Al-Ahli Saudi to win (64% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Al-Ahli Saudi Power
0
Al-Hazem Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
2
Al-Ahli Saudi Position+10
Position Gap12
Al-Hazem Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.