AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First Division League (FDL) Jan 18, 2023

Al-Ahli Saudi

Home
VS
15:40

Al-Hazem

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Al-Ahli Saudi Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Al-Hazem Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 2.83 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 0.2
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Ahli Saudi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Al-Hazem Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (19%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (14%) 0-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Al-Ahli Saudi Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 10 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Qadisi… 1-1
Dec 31 Al-Ahli S… vs Damac 2-2
Oct 16 Al-Ahli S… vs Al Riyadh 0-2
Oct 02 Al-Ahli S… vs Al Taawou… 1-2
Sep 05 Al-Ahli S… vs Al Akhdoud 1-0
Sep 04 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Fateh … 0-1
Aug 31 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Fateh … 2-0
Aug 30 Al-Ahli S… vs Al Akhdoud 2-0
Aug 25 Al-Ahli S… vs Al Khalee… 0-2
Jun 23 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Fateh … 0-3
Al-Hazem Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 31 Al-Hazem vs Al Riyadh 2-1
Oct 10 Al-Hazem vs Al-Qadisi… 1-0
Sep 17 Al-Hazem vs Al Akhdoud 1-1
Mar 18 Al-Hazem vs Al-Ittiha… 3-0
Mar 12 Al-Hazem vs Damac 0-1
Feb 26 Al-Hazem vs Al-Ahli S… 2-0
Feb 18 Al-Hazem vs Al-Fateh … 0-1
Feb 05 Al-Hazem vs Al Shabab 1-2
Jan 15 Al-Hazem vs Al-Ahli S… 1-0
Jan 07 Al-Hazem vs Al Taawou… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 26, 2022 Al-Ahli Saudi 2 - 0 Al-Hazem Pro League
Jan 15, 2022 Al-Ahli Saudi 1 - 0 Al-Hazem Pro League
Sep 30, 2021 Al-Hazem 1 - 1 Al-Ahli Saudi Pro League
Aug 19, 2021 Al-Hazem 2 - 2 Al-Ahli Saudi Pro League
Aug 29, 2020 Al-Ahli Saudi 4 - 1 Al-Hazem Pro League
Aug 04, 2020 Al-Ahli Saudi 4 - 2 Al-Hazem Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al-Ahli Saudi to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al-Ahli Saudi Power 0
Al-Hazem Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.