League Two · Jan 01, 2024 15:00
Accrington ST
PWR 37
Watford
PWR 36
Accrington ST
PWR 37
3 - 0
FT
Watford
PWR 36
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Accrington ST to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (8%)
2-2 (7%)
1-1 (6%)
3-1 (6%)
1-2 (6%)
3-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 1.4% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack36
Defense68
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.1
Attack39
Defense65
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.2
Accrington ST Form
DDLLW
STABLE
Watford Form
LLDLL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.575%
BTTS76%
Under 2.525%
Accrington … Goals
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Watford Goals
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.40
Accrington STvs
1.84
WatfordDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum68%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Accrington …-2
Gap#10
Watford
WR 35% 94 pts
WR 34% 110 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accrington ST | 74 | 26 | 16 | 32 | 91 | 98 | 94 |
| Watford | 83 | 28 | 26 | 29 | 112 | 114 | 110 |
Accrington ST
8.0%
| Dec 29 | Accring… v Barrow | 1-1 |
| Dec 29 | Accring… v Barrow | 1-1 |
| Dec 26 | Accring… v Harroga… | 2-1 |
| Dec 26 | Accring… v Harroga… | 2-1 |
| Dec 23 | Accring… v Walsall | 2-1 |
| Dec 23 | Accring… v Walsall | 2-1 |
| Dec 16 | Accring… v Crewe | 3-3 |
| Dec 09 | Accring… v Doncast… | 0-0 |
| Nov 28 | Accring… v Swindon | 3-4 |
| Nov 25 | Accring… v Brentfo… | 1-0 |
Watford
2.0%
| Dec 29 | Watford v Grimsby | 0-3 |
| Dec 29 | Watford v Grimsby | 0-3 |
| Dec 29 | Watford v Stoke C… | 1-1 |
| Dec 26 | Watford v Tranmer… | 1-5 |
| Dec 26 | Watford v Bristol… | 1-4 |
| Dec 26 | Watford v Tranmer… | 1-5 |
| Dec 26 | Watford v Bristol… | 1-4 |
| Dec 23 | Watford v Blackbu… | 1-2 |
| Dec 23 | Watford v Blackbu… | 1-2 |
| Dec 22 | Watford v Manches… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Aug 26, 2023 | Watford | 1-2 | Accrington ST |
| Sep 20, 2022 | Watford | 0-0 | Accrington ST |
| Aug 29, 2020 | Watford | 0-1 | Accrington ST |
Key Factors
Watford struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.