AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Matogrossense Feb 25, 2023

Mixto

Home
VS
19:30

Sport Sinop

Away
AI Predictions 39.5% Confidence
Mixto Win
39.5%
Draw
26.1%
Sport Sinop Win
34.4%
Home Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 52%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 51%
xG: 1.49 - 0.61
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.6 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mixto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
Sport Sinop Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (14%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
Mixto Form 2.5%
Date Match Result
Feb 15 Mixto vs Rioverden… 1-1
Feb 05 Mixto vs União Ron… 1-0
Jan 29 Mixto vs CEOV Oper… 1-2
Jan 21 Mixto vs Cuiabá 4-1
Sport Sinop Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 15 Sport Sin… vs União Ron… 2-1
Feb 04 Sport Sin… vs Rioverden… 0-1
Feb 01 Sport Sin… vs Cuiabá 3-0
Jan 28 Sport Sin… vs Nova Mutu… 1-1
Mar 06 Sport Sin… vs União Ron… 3-2
Feb 27 Sport Sin… vs União Ron… 3-0
Feb 16 Sport Sin… vs Cuiabá 1-1
Feb 12 Sport Sin… vs CEOV Oper… 3-2
Feb 05 Sport Sin… vs União Ron… 2-1
Jan 30 Sport Sin… vs Nova Mutu… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mixto struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Sport Sinop struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Mixto to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mixto Power 0
Sport Sinop Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Mixto Position

+6

Position Gap

7

Sport Sinop Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.