AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National League Aug 03, 2024

Yadanarbon

Home
VS
09:30

Rakhine United

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Yadanarbon Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Rakhine United Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 72%
Standings 54%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 53%
xG: 1.41 - 0.63
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.6
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Yadanarbon Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Rakhine United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 0-0 (13%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Under 2.5 Goals 67%
Yadanarbon Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 26 Yadanarbon vs Hantharwa… 1-0
Jul 20 Yadanarbon vs Thitsar A… 1-2
Jul 12 Yadanarbon vs Sagaing U… 3-2
Nov 25 Yadanarbon vs I.S.P.E 1-1
Oct 28 Yadanarbon vs Hantharwa… 0-1
Oct 20 Yadanarbon vs Sagaing U… 0-0
Aug 04 Yadanarbon vs Rakhine U… 1-1
Jul 29 Yadanarbon vs Yangon Un… 2-1
Jun 28 Yadanarbon vs I.S.P.E 1-1
Jun 09 Yadanarbon vs Hantharwa… 1-3
Rakhine United Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 13 Rakhine U… vs I.S.P.E 5-1
Jul 06 Rakhine U… vs Yangon Un… 2-0
Dec 15 Rakhine U… vs Ayeyawady… 2-2
Dec 07 Rakhine U… vs I.S.P.E 4-0
Aug 04 Rakhine U… vs Yadanarbon 1-1
Jul 31 Rakhine U… vs Yangon Un… 1-4
Jul 21 Rakhine U… vs Yangon Un… 1-3
Jul 02 Rakhine U… vs Ayeyawady… 2-2
Mar 16 Rakhine U… vs Yangon Un… 1-2
Mar 05 Rakhine U… vs Yadanarbon 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Rakhine United struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 04, 2023 Yadanarbon 1 - 1 Rakhine United National League
Mar 05, 2023 Rakhine United 2 - 1 Yadanarbon National League
Sep 04, 2022 Rakhine United 2 - 4 Yadanarbon National League
Jul 28, 2022 Yadanarbon 3 - 0 Rakhine United National League
Sep 11, 2020 Yadanarbon 3 - 1 Rakhine United National League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Yadanarbon Power 0
Rakhine United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Yadanarbon Position

+1

Position Gap

8

Rakhine United Position
Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 29%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.