Capixaba · Feb 25, 2024 20:30
Desportiva ES
PWR 35
Real Noroeste
PWR 35
PWR 35
2 - 2
FT
Desportiva ES
PWR 35
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (10%)
2-0 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
2-1 (6%)
1-0 (5%)
1-1 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 8.3% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Real Noroeste Form
WDWWL
STABLE
Desportiva ES Form
LWWDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.564%
BTTS49%
Under 2.536%
Real Noroes… Goals
0
3%
1
9%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
Desportiva … Goals
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.70
Real Noroestevs
0.70
Desportiva ESDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings46%
Market50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
Real Noroes…-2
Gap#5
Desportiva …
WR 25% 8 pts
WR 33% 8 pts
Real Noroeste
14.0%
| Feb 15 | Real No… v Porto V… | 0-2 |
| Feb 10 | Real No… v Rio Bra… | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Real No… v Serra T… | 5-1 |
| Jan 31 | Real No… v Vitoria | 2-3 |
| Apr 06 | Real No… v Porto V… | 1-0 |
| Mar 31 | Real No… v Porto V… | 2-1 |
| Mar 24 | Real No… v Serra T… | 1-0 |
| Mar 17 | Real No… v Serra T… | 2-1 |
| Feb 25 | Real No… v Vilavel… | 2-1 |
| Feb 15 | Real No… v Rio Bra… | 1-0 |
Desportiva ES
10.0%
| Feb 24 | Desport… v São Ber… | 0-3 |
| Feb 17 | Desport… v USAC | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | Desport… v Vitoria | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | Desport… v Rio Bra… | 3-3 |
| Jan 24 | Desport… v Rio Bra… | 4-0 |
| Jan 19 | Desport… v Serra T… | 0-1 |
| Apr 08 | Desport… v USAC | 1-1 |
| Apr 01 | Desport… v USAC | 1-0 |
| Mar 22 | Desport… v Porto V… | 1-1 |
| Mar 19 | Desport… v Porto V… | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Feb 01, 2023 | Real Noroeste | 0-1 | Desportiva ES |
| Feb 09, 2022 | Real Noroeste | 3-0 | Desportiva ES |
| Mar 06, 2021 | Desportiva ES | 0-0 | Real Noroeste |
Key Factors
Real Noroeste in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.