Capixaba · Feb 09, 2022 22:00
Real Noroeste
PWR 35
3 - 0
FT

Desportiva ES
PWR 35
57% H 23% D 20% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (20%) 3-0 (16%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 8.3% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Real Noroeste Form DDLWW
STABLE
Desportiva ES Form DLLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.540%
BTTS16%
Under 2.560%
Real Noroes… Goals
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Desportiva … Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.18
Real Noroeste
vs
0.20
Desportiva ES
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum93%
Standings46%
Market50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
Real Noroes…
-2
Gap
#5
Desportiva …
WR 25% 8 pts WR 33% 8 pts
Real Noroeste 12.0%
May 23 Real No… v Rio Bra… 1-1
May 20 Real No… v Rio Bra… 0-0
May 01 Real No… v Vilavel… 2-3
Apr 27 Real No… v Rio Bra… 1-2
Apr 24 Real No… v Serra T… 2-0
Apr 10 Real No… v Rio Bra… 3-0
Mar 06 Real No… v Desport… 0-0
Dec 16 Real No… v Rio Bra… 2-2
Dec 09 Real No… v Rio Bra… 2-2
Dec 02 Real No… v Serra T… 1-2
Desportiva ES 4.0%
Feb 05 Desport… v Rio Bra… 1-1
May 08 Desport… v Rio Bra… 2-0
May 01 Desport… v Serra T… 1-0
Apr 11 Desport… v Vitoria 0-2
Mar 06 Desport… v Real No… 0-0
Feb 28 Desport… v Vilavel… 4-1
Head-to-Head (1)
Mar 06, 2021 Desportiva ES 0-0 Real Noroeste
Key Factors
Desportiva ES struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.