National Soccer League · May 05, 2024 13:00

Kiyovu Sports
PWR 35

AS Kigali
PWR 35

Kiyovu Sports
PWR 35
4 - 2
FT

AS Kigali
PWR 35
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
PRO: Kiyovu Sports to win (65% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
65%
Confidence
PRO
Match Analyzer PRO
Match Analyzer PRO
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (18%)
1-0 (17%)
0-1 (14%)
1-1 (13%)
2-0 (8%)
2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 5.1% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Kiyovu Sports Form
WDWWL
STABLE
AS Kigali Form
WDWWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.525%
BTTS33%
Under 2.575%
Kiyovu Spor… Goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
AS Kigali Goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Kiyovu Sportsvs
0.79
AS KigaliDecision Breakdown
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings65%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Kiyovu Spor…+9
Gap#14
AS Kigali
WR 27% 31 pts
WR 22% 16 pts
Kiyovu Sports
14.0%
| May 03 | Kiyovu … v Etincel… | 2-3 |
| Apr 25 | Kiyovu … v Mukura | 1-1 |
| Apr 20 | Kiyovu … v Bugesera | 1-2 |
| Mar 30 | Kiyovu … v Mukura | 0-1 |
| Feb 24 | Kiyovu … v Marines | 3-0 |
| Feb 23 | Kiyovu … v Musanze | 0-1 |
| Feb 16 | Kiyovu … v Amagaju | 0-0 |
| Feb 10 | Kiyovu … v Gorilla | 0-1 |
| Feb 03 | Kiyovu … v Gasogi … | 1-1 |
| Jan 26 | Kiyovu … v Bugesera | 2-2 |
AS Kigali
16.0%
| Apr 27 | AS Kiga… v Etincel… | 1-0 |
| Apr 15 | AS Kiga… v APR | 2-2 |
| Feb 24 | AS Kiga… v Police | 0-1 |
| Jan 27 | AS Kiga… v Gasogi … | 0-1 |
| Jan 13 | AS Kiga… v Bugesera | 0-0 |
| Dec 09 | AS Kiga… v Kiyovu … | 2-1 |
| Dec 06 | AS Kiga… v Etincel… | 4-2 |
| Nov 25 | AS Kiga… v APR | 1-1 |
| Oct 15 | AS Kiga… v Police | 0-1 |
| Sep 02 | AS Kiga… v Gasogi … | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Dec 09, 2023 | AS Kigali | 2-1 | Kiyovu Sports |
| Mar 12, 2023 | AS Kigali | 1-1 | Kiyovu Sports |
| Nov 24, 2022 | Kiyovu Sports | 1-0 | AS Kigali |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Kiyovu Sports | 1-0 | AS Kigali |
| Dec 18, 2021 | AS Kigali | 1-2 | Kiyovu Sports |
| May 23, 2021 | AS Kigali | 3-1 | Kiyovu Sports |
Key Factors
Kiyovu Sports in strong form (3W in last 5)
AS Kigali in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.