AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National Soccer League Nov 24, 2022

Kiyovu Sports

Home
VS
16:00

AS Kigali

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Kiyovu Sports Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
AS Kigali Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.75 - 0.66
Key Insights
Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Kiyovu Sports Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
47%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
AS Kigali Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (24%) 1-0 (18%) 0-1 (16%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (7%) 0-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Under 2.5 Goals 83%
Kiyovu Sports Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 20 Kiyovu Sp… vs Mukura 2-2
Nov 06 Kiyovu Sp… vs Rutsiro 2-2
Oct 23 Kiyovu Sp… vs Mukura 0-1
Oct 13 Kiyovu Sp… vs Etincelles 1-1
Sep 15 Kiyovu Sp… vs Gorilla 1-2
Jun 16 Kiyovu Sp… vs Marines 1-0
May 15 Kiyovu Sp… vs Musanze 1-1
May 07 Kiyovu Sp… vs Gicumbi 2-2
May 02 Kiyovu Sp… vs Rutsiro 0-4
Apr 24 Kiyovu Sp… vs Mukura 1-0
AS Kigali Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 12 AS Kigali vs Police 1-0
Nov 06 AS Kigali vs Bugesera 0-0
Oct 30 AS Kigali vs Gasogi Un… 0-1
Oct 02 AS Kigali vs Rutsiro 1-2
Aug 19 AS Kigali vs Etincelles 2-0
Jun 13 AS Kigali vs APR 0-2
May 21 AS Kigali vs Bugesera 0-0
May 15 AS Kigali vs Rutsiro 0-0
Apr 29 AS Kigali vs Gasogi Un… 2-1
Apr 23 AS Kigali vs Kiyovu Sp… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • AS Kigali in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 23, 2022 Kiyovu Sports 1 - 0 AS Kigali National Socce…
Dec 18, 2021 AS Kigali 1 - 2 Kiyovu Sports National Socce…
May 23, 2021 AS Kigali 3 - 1 Kiyovu Sports National Socce…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Kiyovu Sports to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Kiyovu Sports Power 0
AS Kigali Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Kiyovu Sports Position

+6

Position Gap

14

AS Kigali Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.