AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paraense May 01, 2021

Águia de Marabá

Home
VS
19:00

Remo

Away
AI Predictions 44.3% Confidence
Águia de Marabá Win
44.3%
Draw
25.1%
Remo Win
30.5%
Home Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 3.04 - 1.49
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 1.5
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Águia de Marabá Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Remo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 3-2 (6%) 2-2 (6%) 3-0 (5%) 2-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Under 2.5 Goals 26%
Águia de Marabá Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 18 Águia de … vs Remo 1-1
Feb 28 Águia de … vs Tuna Luso 3-2
Aug 02 Águia de … vs Remo 4-2
Remo Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 18 Remo vs Águia de … 1-1
Mar 07 Remo vs Palmeiras 2-0
Mar 05 Remo vs RB Bragan… 2-3
Mar 01 Remo vs Palmeiras 0-1
Feb 08 Remo vs Botafogo 2-5
Jan 16 Remo vs Palmeiras 1-1
Dec 19 Remo vs Sport Rec… 1-1
Dec 06 Remo vs Vasco DA … 4-0
Nov 08 Remo vs Fluminense 0-1
Oct 14 Remo vs Botafogo 3-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 18, 2021 Águia de Marabá 1 - 1 Remo Paraense
Aug 02, 2020 Remo 4 - 2 Águia de Marabá Paraense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Águia de Marabá Power 0
Remo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Águia de Marabá Position

-3

Position Gap

1

Remo Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 67%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.