AI Match Insights

Match Details Home

Primera Division Aug 03, 2024

Real Estelí

Home

01:00

Rancho Santana

Away

AI Predictions 63.0% Confidence

Real Estelí Win

63.0%

Draw

21.4%

Rancho Santana Win

15.6%

Home Win (63% confidence)

Predicted Score: 3-1

Decision Justification

Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)

xG_ADV (67.5%)

Player Score 40%

Momentum 95%

Standings 38%

Market 50%

Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 14%

xG: 4.14 - 1.05

Key Insights

xG dominance: 4.1 vs 1.1

Score Prediction Analysis

Real Estelí Goal Probabilities

0 goals:

1 goals:

2 goals:

14%

3 goals:

19%

4 goals:

20%

Rancho Santana Goal Probabilities

0 goals:

35%

1 goals:

37%

2 goals:

19%

3 goals:

4 goals:

Most Likely Scorelines

3-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%) 2-1 (5%) 2-0 (5%) 3-2 (4%) 2-2 (3%)

BTTS (Both Teams Score) 64%

Over 2.5 Goals 65%

Under 2.5 Goals 35%

Real Estelí Form 12.0%

Date	Match	Result
Apr 10	Real Este… vs H&H Export	2-0
Apr 03	Real Este… vs Jalapa	5-0
Feb 28	Real Este… vs H&H Export	2-3
Jan 27	Real Este… vs Jalapa	2-0
Sep 30	Real Este… vs Jalapa	2-0
Aug 05	Real Este… vs Jalapa	4-0
Mar 20	Real Este… vs Real Madr…	4-0
Feb 06	Real Este… vs Real Madr…	0-0
Oct 11	Real Este… vs Real Madr…	1-2
Aug 08	Real Este… vs Real Madr…	3-0

Rancho Santana Form 50%

No recent form data available

Key Analysis Factors

Real Estelí in strong form (3W in last 5) Home

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Real Estelí to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier

Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence

Rules Passed

HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE

Key Factors

No key factors identified

Real Estelí Power 0

Rancho Santana Power 0

Home Form N/A

Away Form N/A

League Standings Context

2

Real Estelí Position

+2

Position Gap

4

Rancho Santana Position

Home Win Rate: 50%

Away Win Rate: 100%

Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.