Ligue 1 · Nov 09, 2024 16:00
Strasbourg
PWR 39
Monaco
PWR 34
Strasbourg
PWR 39
1 - 3
FT
Monaco
PWR 34
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
Strasbourg Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
82%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%)
1-1 (9%)
2-0 (7%)
3-1 (7%)
2-2 (6%)
1-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-3
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 82%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy68%
FORM_DOMINANTHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEFORM_MISMATCH
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (4 rules, 82% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack50
Defense63
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.3
Attack48
Defense51
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.7
Strasbourg Form
LWLLD
STABLE
Monaco Form
LLLDW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.565%
BTTS66%
Under 2.535%
Strasbourg Goals
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Monaco Goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11
Strasbourgvs
1.38
MonacoDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum71%
Standings66%
Market50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
Strasbourg+3
Gap#10
Monaco
WR 60% 30 pts
WR 22% 27 pts
Strasbourg
6.0%
| Nov 02 | Strasbo… v St Etie… | 2-0 |
| Oct 27 | Strasbo… v Nantes | 3-1 |
| Oct 19 | Strasbo… v Paris S… | 4-2 |
| Oct 19 | Strasbo… v Paris FC | 4-2 |
| Oct 06 | Strasbo… v Lens | 2-2 |
| Oct 06 | Strasbo… v Lens | 2-2 |
| Sep 29 | Strasbo… v Marseil… | 1-0 |
| Sep 21 | Strasbo… v Lille | 3-3 |
| Sep 21 | Strasbo… v Lille | 3-3 |
| Sep 15 | Strasbo… v Angers | 1-1 |
Monaco
6.0%
| Nov 01 | Monaco v Angers | 0-1 |
| Oct 27 | Monaco v Nice | 2-1 |
| Oct 27 | Monaco v Nice | 2-1 |
| Oct 18 | Monaco v Lille | 0-0 |
| Oct 05 | Monaco v Rennes … | 1-2 |
| Oct 05 | Monaco v Rennes … | 1-2 |
| Sep 28 | Monaco v Montpel… | 2-1 |
| Sep 22 | Monaco v LE Havr… | 3-1 |
| Sep 22 | Monaco v LE Havr… | 3-1 |
| Sep 14 | Monaco v Auxerre | 0-3 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Mar 10, 2024 | Strasbourg | 0-1 | Monaco |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Strasbourg | 0-1 | Monaco |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Monaco | 3-0 | Strasbourg |
| Apr 02, 2023 | Monaco | 4-3 | Strasbourg |
| Aug 06, 2022 | Strasbourg | 1-2 | Monaco |
| Mar 13, 2022 | Strasbourg | 1-0 | Monaco |
| Nov 28, 2021 | Monaco | 1-1 | Strasbourg |
| Mar 03, 2021 | Strasbourg | 1-0 | Monaco |
Key Factors
Strasbourg struggling (3L in last 5)
Monaco struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.